Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dff1ec149c7ee2a5b7cd5dd2d3eab21c504a6fbb57d1fcff420b03d3f7e8b75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sport Lisboa e Benficaof Sporting CP, Sport Lisboa e Benfica
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed Sporting CP | 42c | 3,449$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.78 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 60c | 3,147$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.91 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 77c | 2,030$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.19 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Sporting CP | 12c | 937.03$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Sporting CP | 23c | 885.13$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.58 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…3772backed Sporting CP | 4c | 523.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Sporting CP | 23c | 204.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 78c | 197.36$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Sporting CP | 23c | 196.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Sporting CP | 20c | 94.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Sporting CP | 25c | 84.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sporting CP | 23c | 55.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 75c | 45.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 75c | 44.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 78c | 25.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 75c | 19.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Sporting CP | 66c | 17.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)this page
- Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.