Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x118c08575e1fc9bea97d15ac5c568b9baac2f86b1e9b6c08b18aef7586c21474
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 67c | 2,500$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 34c | 2,363$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.28 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 35c | 2,318$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.45 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 1,929$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.63 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 17c | 1,908$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.35 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…8af4backed Under | 24c | 1,279$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Over | 73c | 823.22$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.54 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Under | 29c | 759.32$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 12c | 626.08$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 21c | 601$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.89 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 76c | 545.15$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.08 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 74c | 528.85$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.3 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 64c | 499.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 75c | 384.15$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 18c | 363.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 25c | 363.23$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.82 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 70c | 350$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 29c | 341.36$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Over | 76c | 294.2$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 18c | 278.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 77c | 256.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 24c | 228.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 8c | 218.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 29c | 187.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 29c | 165.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaf…9bf6backed Over | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8561…337bbacked Under | 19c | 150.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…09aebacked Over | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 31c | 121.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Under | 18c | 118.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d0…468abacked Over | 65c | 105.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 28c | 104.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Under | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 72c | 98.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 22c | 95.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 61c | 83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 78c | 79.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 76c | 72.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…1532backed Over | 74c | 67.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 70c | 65.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Over | 79c | 59.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 66c | 48.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 75c | 47.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 70c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Over | 79c | 31.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 75c | 31.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 68c | 30.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 77 | 75.3%58 W · 19 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…13d5backed Over | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed Over | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Over | 76c | 21.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Over | 71c | 20.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Over | 69c | 18.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Over | 78c | 15.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…15d0backed Over | 78c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…a3cebacked Over | 75c | 13.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5this page
- Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.