Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49ada0302a6bba8d202cc45031bdfd87db0a0ed31d917aaf5a52d2f82bf7c9bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Under | 71c | 12,279$8,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,611.15 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 7,464$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.08 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 30c | 2,324$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.18 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 30c | 1,212$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.69 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 30c | 1,105$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.62 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 31c | 903$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.93 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 23c | 829.8$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.76 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 15c | 626.97$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.67 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 31c | 583.5$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.88 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 30c | 477.69$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.8 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…4108backed Under | 69c | 440.11$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…746ebacked Under | 63c | 429.19$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 30c | 402.96$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.89 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 25c | 402.95$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…21f7backed Under | 70c | 239.54$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 226.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 23c | 220.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 26c | 130.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -10.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 70c | 130.07$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Under | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71fd…1397backed Under | 70c | 112.3$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 70c | 89.15$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Over | 17c | 83.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 31c | 78.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 29c | 58.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 31c | 56.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | +13.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 69c | 50.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 29c | 49.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 27c | 43.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 71c | 43.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 31c | 39.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 31c | 39.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 31c | 34.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Over | 31c | 32.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 73c | 29.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 75c | 22.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 70c | 20.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5this page
- Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.