Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0249507da5af489880e20f8e1585036aaa3360fa9cf4fcaa123572b32f58585c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 6,608$3,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.07 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 3,272$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.6 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 3,211$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.61 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 52c | 2,986$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.08 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 2,046$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.78 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 48c | 2,018$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.8 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 52c | 1,889$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.64 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Under | 48c | 1,796$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 1,480$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.49 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…8af4backed Over | 78c | 1,433$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…c4bfbacked Under | 48c | 1,037$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 52c | 933.86$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 52c | 808$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.84 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 62c | 806.71$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.34 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 51c | 797.49$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.72 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 58c | 668.4$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.68 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Under | 2c | 655.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 46c | 625.07$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.43 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 12c | 522.26$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.67 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +12.8wins | +0.16per pick | 16cpaid | +246%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 513.5$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.84 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 507.89$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.6 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…e7e0backed Over | 42c | 458.67$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.62 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 47c | 453.87$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.32 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Under | 48c | 448.84$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 52c | 432.85$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.34 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 52c | 380$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 356.66$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.97 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Under | 33c | 301.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 67c | 294.06$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 267.72$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.5 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 52c | 267.72$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.5 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…746ebacked Under | 38c | 240.09$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…b7cabacked Under | 10c | 240$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +230.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 52c | 215.42$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.21 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…bd99backed Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…acb7backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +229.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 60c | 191.37$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.46 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 34c | 181.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.87 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 25c | 180$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.8 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 52c | 168.1$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.02 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 52c | 149.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 47c | 144.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Under | 73c | 135.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 55c | 105.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Under | 49c | 99.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 45c | 97.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -10.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Over | 55c | 97.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 45c | 88.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…1749backed Over | 32c | 88.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 58c | 79.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 64c | 76.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 55c | 75.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 54c | 73.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 26c | 66.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 52c | 65.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…9c64backed Over | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…83afbacked Over | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 51c | 59.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 52c | 58.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Over | 52c | 58.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 50c | 58.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 52c | 56.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 52c | 55.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | +13.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 30c | 52.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1427…859fbacked Under | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 52c | 49.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 52c | 47.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b3…f8d4backed Under | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Under | 60c | 45.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 48c | 41.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 39.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d0…468abacked Over | 40c | 38.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 67c | 36.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 50c | 35.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…0aebbacked Over | 56c | 34.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…6c60backed Over | 52c | 33.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…720bbacked Under | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Under | 57c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ba81backed Over | 48c | 28.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Over | 47c | 27.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Under | 52c | 24.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 52c | 24.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 49c | 23.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5this page
- Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.