MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01b4e62cf2bc09f9465a970a7422501884d7141c64d516c1e9b41dcc30429235
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $466,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $467,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $466,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Houston Astros | 45c | 48,415$21,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,725.45 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Houston Astros | 57c | 47,698$27,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,187.9 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 24,221$10,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,583.13 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Houston Astros | 56c | 19,987$11,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,192.57 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 18,479$7,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,498.42 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 17,854$7,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,125.87 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 15,131$7,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,640.74 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 56c | 15,082$8,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,495.97 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Houston Astros | 41c | 13,270$5,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,387.27 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 11,760$6,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,726.55 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Houston Astros | 55c | 11,491$6,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,320.31 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 10,859$5,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,377.12 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 9,918$4,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,653.15 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 8,543$4,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,741.77 | 262 | 57.3%150 W · 112 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 7,802$3,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,446.99 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 57c | 7,463$4,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,254.04 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 7,253$3,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,988.88 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 6,547$2,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800.27 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 6,135$3,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.44 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Houston Astros | 55c | 5,838$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.9 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 5,548$3,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.46 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Houston Astros | 51c | 5,484$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.19 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a9…5689backed Houston Astros | 66c | 4,301$2,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,838.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Houston Astros | 56c | 4,178$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,358.27 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Houston Astros | 29c | 4,110$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.31 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 4,061$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.99 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Houston Astros | 58c | 3,875$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.74 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Houston Astros | 58c | 3,782$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.69 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Houston Astros | 57c | 3,508$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.56 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 3,405$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.95 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Houston Astros | 47c | 3,356$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.35 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 3,161$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.43 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 3,145$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.45 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 3,052$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.6 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 57c | 2,986$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.29 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Houston Astros | 51c | 2,711$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.53 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 2,695$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.3 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 2,619$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.13 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Houston Astros | 56c | 2,424$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.2 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 2,331$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.01 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 2,284$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.95 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623b…8facbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 2,277$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea56…2413backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 2,275$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Houston Astros | 55c | 2,259$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.25 | 324 | 51.9%168 W · 156 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 2,147$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.71 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Houston Astros | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Houston Astros | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Houston Astros | 40c | 1,878$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.78 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 24c | 1,834$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.72 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Houston Astros | 57c | 1,744$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.36 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Houston Astros | 6c | 1,676$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.38 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Houston Astros | 57c | 1,554$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.53 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Houston Astros | 8c | 1,533$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.62 | 170 | 14.1%24 W · 146 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,506$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.37 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Houston Astros | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +173.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…473dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,443$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.51 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x70cb…f527backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 1,305$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.79 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.7wins | +0.39per pick | 52cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,240$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.95 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Houston Astros | 27c | 1,230$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.55 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 1,216$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.41 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3a86backed Houston Astros | 59c | 1,202$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.86 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Houston Astros | 11c | 1,164$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,162$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.34 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Houston Astros | 72c | 1,140$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.89 | 242 | 50%121 W · 121 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Houston Astros | 14c | 1,108$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.52 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 1,099$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.41 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…629abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,084$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.73 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Houston Astros | 62c | 1,056$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.04 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,053$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.05 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Houston Astros | 57c | 1,040$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.97 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,029$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.25 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 1,014$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.62 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…6dd7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 986.68$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.67 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 918.48$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.53 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 916.63$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.56 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 908.62$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.97 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 849.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.5 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 840$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.12 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Houston Astros | 6c | 831.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 822.47$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.6 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 769.91$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.85 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 768.29$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.24 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 767.84$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…8722backed Houston Astros | 16c | 732.69$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros | 64c | 704.77$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.76 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Houston Astros | 56c | 695.43$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.44 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 673.16$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.7 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 39c | 669.25$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.83 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 638.2$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.96 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 612.32$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.02 | 286 | 47.2%135 W · 151 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…ca73backed Houston Astros | 56c | 608.5$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.76 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Houston Astros | 61c | 605.68$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.46 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Houston Astros | 57c | 600.01$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 587.63$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.24 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 560.16$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.29 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 559$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.04 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 543.93$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.98 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 523.46$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.15 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Houston Astros | 14c | 515.58$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.