Premier League · resolved market
Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc667f42114d2d32006c653885bc84d8b009d44ea461bb6989b5b7e3de5768c13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 1,008$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.06 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 42c | 979.66$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 940.33$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.99 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 17c | 939.58$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.66 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 51c | 543.64$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.42 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 79c | 499.95$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…6d71backed Over | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 77c | 314.68$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Over | 24c | 239.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 225.76$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.62 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd1…34efbacked Over | 29c | 168.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 79c | 125.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Over | 14c | 120.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 42c | 117.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 23c | 108.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 23c | 102.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 40c | 90.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 21c | 88.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 61c | 79.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 57c | 74.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 72c | 54.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 61c | 51.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…bb75backed Over | 29c | 50.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Over | 68c | 37.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b1…f556backed Over | 45c | 33.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 53c | 32.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 49c | 27.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ee1abacked Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5this page
- Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Leicester City FC won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-2.5)Leicester City FC won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.