Premier League · resolved market
Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb29ff3c40cc77f7b0ba1bf43dfcfa8f2701ea99884464bda048fe5d68e1713bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 26c | 1,973$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.79 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 35c | 1,503$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.21 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 71c | 1,417$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.18 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 1,097$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.33 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Under | 69c | 426.7$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.42 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 29c | 416.56$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.76 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 70c | 299.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 30c | 255.46$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.82 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 57c | 244.57$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.21 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Under | 42c | 213.39$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 58c | 207.63$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.43 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 29c | 196.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.43 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 66c | 133.21$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 31c | 108.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 69c | 106.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 26c | 99.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 26c | 59.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…697ebacked Under | 63c | 40.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…c986backed Over | 71c | 27.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 57c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e4…a092backed Over | 76c | 20.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5this page
- Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Leicester City FC won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-2.5)Leicester City FC won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.