TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,033
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,535

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,033 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9770…0ff5backed Over56c24,343$13,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,711.193357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under44c8,057$3,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,547.5417557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32013155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under44c1,750$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77015255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66014158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under47c1,425$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.842,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c1,281$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.562,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Over45c1,112$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over55c1,057$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.1430149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over55c884.54$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.0514138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under45c784.98$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.4545249.6%224 W · 228 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98c9…e341backed Under35c550.24$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2507252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22012157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22017062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22014459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Under42c445.25$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.442832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under45c429.78$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.41450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under45c429.44$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.41637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under45c419.03$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.574656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over55c406.89$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.16451.6%33 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over54c402.03$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.1932164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17614354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17612757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17613855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over54c253.6$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.691,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Over78c253.1$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.748375.9%63 W · 20 L+17.2wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+57.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11014658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11013858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under45c245$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2527752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under44c237.89$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6714355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under44c214.27$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.881,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under46c213.84$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.378144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over60c197.36$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.219152.7%48 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c192.34$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.786,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6122242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over73c175.33$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7714055%77 W · 63 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under45c150.55$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7580853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610860.2%65 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under31c145.68$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8295332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4615738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4412558.4%73 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410558.1%61 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.453240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under47c93.65$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.732345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under44c90$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.67853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over53c80.05$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.624245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under46c76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9611842.4%50 W · 68 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b35…7e1dbacked Under44c75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under44c75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3356158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under44c75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3381559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c73.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.324,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over42c69.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2218651.6%96 W · 90 L+13.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over67c69.11$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0574056.9%421 W · 319 L+46.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under44c66.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4969651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c65$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.555254.5%301 W · 251 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over70c62.77$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5482763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under46c61.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.064740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over78c56.93$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.522580%20 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked Under46c56.21$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.856056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under44c55.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.221,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over55c53.07$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8827955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under46c52.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.19137.7%1 W · 12 L-5.3wins-0.41per pick49cpaid-84.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under44c52.32$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0210949.5%54 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under23c45.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.35158.8%30 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over55c44.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.911348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over55c44.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.98362.7%52 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over78c38.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4915470.8%109 W · 45 L+22.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+29.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over55c35.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9235743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over55c35.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9240742%171 W · 236 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a98…3f93backed Over55c35.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.923450%17 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under46c35.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.085855.2%32 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over74c34.8$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.948560%51 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over69c29.93$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4115858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over54c29.17$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4227846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1160557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over52c24.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.999355.9%52 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6733…acb9backed Under46c24.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.412951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under46c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.044634.8%16 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x234b…348ebacked Under46c22.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.32948.3%14 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Over66c21.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1518961.9%117 W · 72 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over61c20.03$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.812965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.