Premier League · resolved market
Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc92d8e3703c7c1efcd5345a9a4ceeb7313d8ed0eaf94cbd3d1d4796df79e7519
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 1,379$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.44 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Yes | 57c | 1,163$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.52 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 58c | 887.09$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.76 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 43c | 571.35$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.63 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed No | 44c | 381.73$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.96 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 380.54$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked No | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Yes | 56c | 208.74$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 57c | 204.28$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.35 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 58c | 194.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed No | 42c | 183.58$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 56c | 94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 42c | 54.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 61c | 41.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 54c | 40.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed No | 43c | 23.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 58c | 20.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Leicester City FC won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-2.5)Leicester City FC won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.