NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3a0ae107afbe1b1155c239e02f992006b4f7beb254939439515637d608d7c62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 17c | 2,419$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 79c | 1,271$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.45 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Under | 73c | 1,184$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.99 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Over | 31c | 707.59$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.73 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 41c | 440.72$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.95 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 67c | 417.48$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.99 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 412.71$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.36 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2df0…0bcfbacked Under | 50c | 342$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 61c | 306$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.71 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 67c | 300.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 28c | 299.18$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.49 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Under | 50c | 298$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.22 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Over | 51c | 259.09$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.95 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 43c | 216.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 50c | 211.9$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.95 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 22c | 207$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Over | 17c | 207$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.37 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 50c | 202$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Over | 50c | 180.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.46 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Under | 43c | 173$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 37c | 172.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 64c | 167.68$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Over | 34c | 163.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.45 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…6559backed Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 43c | 130.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b1…f556backed Under | 23c | 130.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 26c | 127.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.01 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x720b…f155backed Under | 74c | 122.72$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 37c | 115.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.35 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Under | 10c | 108.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 53c | 103.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Under | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…c2a0backed Over | 52c | 71.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…63d2backed Over | 52c | 71.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 58c | 53.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 72c | 47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Over | 45c | 29.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Over | 38c | 28.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc459…ac19backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…f77ebacked Under | 73c | 18.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5this page
- Sharks vs. BlackhawksBlackhawks won
- Sharks vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sharks vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sharks vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.