Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Stray Team vs Recrent Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x361bc308ec21a07479b743a7666f1ddfcacd7c23dc669cd26a6867c1896eb469
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Recrent Teamof Stray Team, Recrent Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x938f…94aabacked Stray Team | 71c | 1,000$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Stray Team | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Recrent Team | 15c | 218.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Recrent Team | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 14cpaid | +237.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93fa…26d9backed Stray Team | 53c | 168.45$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Stray Team | 55c | 123$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…2f43backed Stray Team | 50c | 116.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Recrent Team | 50c | 110.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Stray Team | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4a19backed Recrent Team | 60c | 86.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977c…57ecbacked Stray Team | 33c | 79.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Recrent Team | 78c | 71.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked Recrent Team | 22c | 62.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 14cpaid | +399.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Stray Team | 61c | 54.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Recrent Team | 58c | 43.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Recrent Team | 56c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Recrent Team | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Stray Team | 56c | 22.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed Recrent Team | 79c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e3…6761backed Recrent Team | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Recrent Team | 79c | 19.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Recrent Team | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Stray Team vs Recrent Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Stray Team vs Recrent Team - Game 1 WinnerRecrent Team won
- Dota 2: Stray Team vs Recrent Team - Game 2 WinnerStray Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.