Lol · resolved market
LoL: Francesinhas vs Dream Esports (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32c676f380940476227650757f960885bea67d07f3580f3509161a7355849dfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dream Esportsof Francesinhas, Dream Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe220…8d16backed Dream Esports | 61c | 8,841$5,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,435.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Francesinhas | 30c | 3,112$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.16 | 438 | 37.9%166 W · 272 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…8fabbacked Dream Esports | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…c619backed Francesinhas | 35c | 1,449$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa239…71a5backed Dream Esports | 59c | 1,320$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Francesinhas | 15c | 1,315$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.15 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Francesinhas | 31c | 1,296$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.35 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…a80dbacked Dream Esports | 42c | 1,202$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Dream Esports | 34c | 1,038$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.08 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Francesinhas | 28c | 1,036$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.46 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed Dream Esports | 72c | 1,025$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Dream Esports | 33c | 1,021$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.4 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…dc9ebacked Francesinhas | 67c | 1,000$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Francesinhas | 58c | 976.06$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.12 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Francesinhas | 29c | 908.07$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.83 | 208 | 26.9%56 W · 152 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Francesinhas | 67c | 898.3$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.52 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd427…1fdbbacked Dream Esports | 69c | 852.54$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Francesinhas | 36c | 796$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.56 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed Francesinhas | 30c | 794.83$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.59 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Dream Esports | 73c | 770.37$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.57 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…7f76backed Francesinhas | 63c | 687.7$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…8739backed Francesinhas | 27c | 644.41$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…8149backed Francesinhas | 36c | 618.38$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.62 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Francesinhas | 42c | 514.17$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.82 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…3c83backed Francesinhas | 51c | 508.65$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad47…e425backed Francesinhas | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Francesinhas | 61c | 499.98$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.99 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked Francesinhas | 56c | 494.55$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.95 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Francesinhas | 63c | 487.3$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -17.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed Francesinhas | 18c | 460$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.88 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Francesinhas | 36c | 453.92$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.41 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Francesinhas | 41c | 391$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.86 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Francesinhas | 36c | 383.25$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.97 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Francesinhas | 36c | 361.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Francesinhas | 23c | 338$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d7…3e6ebacked Dream Esports | 77c | 330$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Francesinhas | 14c | 316.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Francesinhas | 63c | 278.97$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.75 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…e860backed Francesinhas | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Francesinhas | 29c | 262.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 212 | 31.1%66 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Francesinhas | 52c | 237$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.26 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Francesinhas | 36c | 232.16$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Francesinhas | 36c | 226.96$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.71 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Dream Esports | 49c | 221.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +8.7wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Francesinhas | 44c | 205.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.41 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Francesinhas | 61c | 188.88$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.22 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Francesinhas | 33c | 185$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 218 | 36.7%80 W · 138 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…dfb9backed Francesinhas | 57c | 173.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Francesinhas | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Dream Esports | 62c | 163.8$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Francesinhas | 15c | 143.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 306 | 43.1%132 W · 174 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…286bbacked Francesinhas | 14c | 142.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Francesinhas | 40c | 142$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed Francesinhas | 31c | 129.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977c…57ecbacked Francesinhas | 14c | 121.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Dream Esports | 38c | 111$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Francesinhas | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Francesinhas | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +154%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Francesinhas | 38c | 89.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bb…b1e7backed Francesinhas | 35c | 86.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…d11bbacked Francesinhas | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76af…25c3backed Francesinhas | 16c | 82.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Dream Esports | 39c | 81.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 407 | 41.5%169 W · 238 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Francesinhas | 28c | 76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 312 | 44.6%139 W · 173 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Dream Esports | 38c | 74.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Francesinhas | 35c | 72.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Francesinhas | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Francesinhas | 35c | 51.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Dream Esports | 62c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 117 | 70.1%82 W · 35 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Francesinhas | 31c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Francesinhas | 61c | 43.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 573 | 33%189 W · 384 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Dream Esports | 79c | 43.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…c840backed Dream Esports | 69c | 43.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc09…f937backed Dream Esports | 33c | 35.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe534…7484backed Dream Esports | 73c | 34.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Francesinhas | 37c | 30.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Francesinhas | 38c | 26.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1abb…9d8fbacked Francesinhas | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Francesinhas | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Francesinhas | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…2d2dbacked Francesinhas | 63c | 17.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.