CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f6fcfdb5307bb58da2c1b53933a5e12917ec5e4075fdfd7dbdc5539013b625d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MASONICof ASTRAL, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MASONIC | 49c | 8,688$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,435.69 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked ASTRAL | 72c | 6,744$4,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,825.78 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ASTRAL | 46c | 3,360$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.63 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked ASTRAL | 56c | 1,258$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.55 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MASONIC | 31c | 1,183$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.21 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ASTRAL | 64c | 1,080$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.97 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked MASONIC | 36c | 636.78$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…825dbacked ASTRAL | 2c | 604.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked ASTRAL | 37c | 600$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ASTRAL | 56c | 441.48$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MASONIC | 36c | 433.49$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.71 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MASONIC | 38c | 362.42$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.22 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed ASTRAL | 37c | 355.95$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.2 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed MASONIC | 46c | 285.4$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.35 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed MASONIC | 24c | 254.54$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.53 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed MASONIC | 37c | 220$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked MASONIC | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed ASTRAL | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked ASTRAL | 10c | 174.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed ASTRAL | 33c | 167$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MASONIC | 61c | 166.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed ASTRAL | 39c | 154$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed MASONIC | 37c | 149$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked MASONIC | 37c | 134.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed MASONIC | 37c | 127.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.46 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed ASTRAL | 36c | 120.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977c…57ecbacked MASONIC | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked ASTRAL | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked ASTRAL | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed ASTRAL | 50c | 91.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed MASONIC | 45c | 65.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked MASONIC | 37c | 46.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed ASTRAL | 71c | 45.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked MASONIC | 51c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 228 | 37.3%85 W · 143 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed ASTRAL | 28c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed ASTRAL | 66c | 42.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed MASONIC | 39c | 40.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed ASTRAL | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +307.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked ASTRAL | 51c | 19.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group BASTRAL won
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MASONIC - Map 2 WinnerASTRAL won
- Map Handicap: ASTR (-1.5) vs MASONIC (+1.5)MASONIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.