TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ASTRALof ASTRAL, MASONIC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,207
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,207 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked MASONIC35c7,962$2,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,793.583,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed ASTRAL54c6,670$3,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,047.6728960.6%175 W · 114 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ASTRAL69c6,615$4,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.255,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked ASTRAL68c3,069$2,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.3323249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed MASONIC31c2,262$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.231,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked MASONIC31c2,051$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.4222645.1%102 W · 124 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed ASTRAL69c1,584$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.62,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x810b…0848backed MASONIC2c1,445$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.18128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.29per pick38cpaid-79.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed ASTRAL53c1,434$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.3564058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…6664backed MASONIC59c1,414$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.641428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed ASTRAL67c1,300$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.9951252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MASONIC48c1,229$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.217,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MASONIC37c1,164$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.242,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed ASTRAL68c1,022$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.222,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked MASONIC31c964.13$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014037.9%53 W · 87 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ASTRAL55c845.95$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.864,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed MASONIC34c801.46$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.3722044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…5c4cbacked MASONIC48c767.17$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9513350.4%67 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked MASONIC34c762.59$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.7455843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x078f…796cbacked ASTRAL67c757.59$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.595536.4%20 W · 35 L-7.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed ASTRAL44c706.62$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.7121247.6%101 W · 111 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MASONIC30c647.86$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.365,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed ASTRAL58c630.28$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.2834146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed ASTRAL44c620$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.757145.1%32 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a1e…6f16backed ASTRAL70c551.61$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.488660.5%52 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MASONIC34c512.21$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.664,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28a0…9884backed MASONIC5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-54.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MASONIC43c499.56$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.622,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked MASONIC35c455.8$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4436440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed MASONIC35c405$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.559549.5%47 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed MASONIC32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12857641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed MASONIC30c400$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11849935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed ASTRAL51c395.29$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4925747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ASTRAL66c379.4$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.684,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed MASONIC30c363.19$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.751,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed MASONIC35c358$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.319447.4%92 W · 102 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed ASTRAL68c346.82$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9884958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b50…1db2backed MASONIC30c331$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.185950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed MASONIC33c317.4$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2580740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed MASONIC31c310.16$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7625142.6%107 W · 144 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe592…74adbacked MASONIC30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907445.9%34 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked MASONIC43c295$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.563138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed MASONIC38c261.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed MASONIC49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.51,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked MASONIC27c249.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.543640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked MASONIC40c244.95$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9831845.3%144 W · 174 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked MASONIC33c244.18$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.52,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed MASONIC35c234.6$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1123732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked ASTRAL68c230$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.67736.4%28 W · 49 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked MASONIC29c225$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2512328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed MASONIC32c220$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.42,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked MASONIC31c218.06$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.663541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aae…0da3backed ASTRAL69c214.3$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4414255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed ASTRAL65c213.79$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.791,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed MASONIC33c207.22$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8213738.7%53 W · 84 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed MASONIC48c203.96$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.93348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed MASONIC48c203.96$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.911354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed MASONIC28c200.42$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.772,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed MASONIC45c199.04$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6821949.8%109 W · 110 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked MASONIC46c196.12$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.081,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed MASONIC31c188.43$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.935550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab7…756bbacked ASTRAL54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1910337.9%39 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked MASONIC29c175.86$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5114441%59 W · 85 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed MASONIC28c163.16$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.688246.3%38 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5147…f078backed MASONIC47c159.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.028645.3%39 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe36c…a856backed MASONIC37c150.86$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.748637.2%32 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed ASTRAL57c150.37$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8734036.5%124 W · 216 L-1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked ASTRAL54c144.59$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.381,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed ASTRAL65c143$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0574054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd592…9618backed MASONIC32c142$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.446752.2%35 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed ASTRAL54c138.71$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9738131%118 W · 263 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed MASONIC30c136.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4119245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed MASONIC29c134.48$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed ASTRAL77c127.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3924544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed ASTRAL67c124$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413429.4%10 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-49.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed MASONIC40c123.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9528173%205 W · 76 L+21.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5054…325fbacked MASONIC19c122.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.26560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked ASTRAL72c121.26$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.31,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ASTRAL59c108.88$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed ASTRAL47c107.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.526048.5%126 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MASONIC35c107.29$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.861,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfde…8ad8backed ASTRAL44c105.64$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.167546.7%35 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c09…f399backed MASONIC29c105$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.453759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked MASONIC34c103.49$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1910545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x388b…629fbacked MASONIC36c102.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.331741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed ASTRAL69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3140155.1%221 W · 180 L+1.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba23…cd7ebacked ASTRAL52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4815455.2%85 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed MASONIC31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3165946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e0…095dbacked MASONIC47c99.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.771457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93b1…4781backed MASONIC66c99.55$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.71030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-57.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x616f…e14cbacked MASONIC29c95.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.762653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed MASONIC60c95.4$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2419762.9%124 W · 73 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked MASONIC36c86.92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.942,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…05bbbacked ASTRAL70c85.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.712466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x285b…df1ebacked MASONIC53c84.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9215247.4%72 W · 80 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79f2…c423backed MASONIC29c82.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244650%23 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed MASONIC49c81.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4041050.7%208 W · 202 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed MASONIC53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.427156.1%152 W · 119 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked MASONIC30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.691945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb52b…9646backed ASTRAL57c79$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6122059.1%130 W · 90 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.