CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dc98b482ff89d1084688386de47884b9f1cbde1bf25ea7df0da700cc3085ee3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASTRALof ASTRAL, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MASONIC | 43c | 3,977$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.15 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x824f…69bdbacked ASTRAL | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.99 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MASONIC | 36c | 2,935$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.1 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked ASTRAL | 63c | 1,599$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.82 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MASONIC | 37c | 1,308$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.96 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ASTRAL | 63c | 1,174$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.88 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed ASTRAL | 55c | 999$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.22 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed ASTRAL | 61c | 803.4$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.36 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked ASTRAL | 71c | 638.06$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.83 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked MASONIC | 39c | 637.03$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.23 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed MASONIC | 50c | 409.46$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.73 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MASONIC | 54c | 354.06$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.91 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed MASONIC | 37c | 250.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed MASONIC | 34c | 218.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked MASONIC | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed MASONIC | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed MASONIC | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ASTRAL | 36c | 197.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed MASONIC | 16c | 187$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ASTRAL | 59c | 171.46$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.83 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ASTRAL | 63c | 152.89$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MASONIC | 29c | 151.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed MASONIC | 21c | 151.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed MASONIC | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed MASONIC | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ASTRAL | 69c | 132.25$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed MASONIC | 37c | 127.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…3630backed MASONIC | 32c | 110.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…e92bbacked ASTRAL | 53c | 109.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…05bbbacked ASTRAL | 65c | 103.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked MASONIC | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed ASTRAL | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed MASONIC | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed MASONIC | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed MASONIC | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…3ef9backed MASONIC | 23c | 91.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed MASONIC | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked MASONIC | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked MASONIC | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…095dbacked MASONIC | 53c | 67.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed ASTRAL | 74c | 64.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f15…f950backed MASONIC | 37c | 62.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed MASONIC | 37c | 62.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked ASTRAL | 58c | 62.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed MASONIC | 33c | 59.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked MASONIC | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 228 | 37.3%85 W · 143 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed MASONIC | 37c | 47.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…9618backed ASTRAL | 62c | 46.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed MASONIC | 33c | 36.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70cb…5691backed MASONIC | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed ASTRAL | 64c | 32.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e3…637bbacked MASONIC | 66c | 28.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group BASTRAL won
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MASONIC - Map 1 WinnerMASONIC won
- Map Handicap: ASTR (-1.5) vs MASONIC (+1.5)MASONIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.