CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf28460e3706ac5236a38caf77d8c02e37ccb02c4418ba9212cfd444b4c1c7d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bounty Hunters Esportsof Bounty Hunters Esports, Yawara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 62c | 10,728$6,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,075.41 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yawara Esports | 41c | 8,525$3,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,511.23 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 2,400$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yawara Esports | 46c | 1,886$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.02 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Yawara Esports | 49c | 1,453$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.53 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 68c | 1,137$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.21 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 49c | 1,120$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.69 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 65c | 757.99$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.75 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Yawara Esports | 51c | 622.47$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.58 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 38c | 524.45$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.63 | 434 | 37.6%163 W · 271 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yawara Esports | 49c | 507.57$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.65 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yawara Esports | 33c | 507.31$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.89 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…6091backed Yawara Esports | 20c | 397.24$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yawara Esports | 34c | 305.31$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.33 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Yawara Esports | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yawara Esports | 13c | 275.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 49c | 275.27$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.73 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yawara Esports | 26c | 255.95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yawara Esports | 35c | 253.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Yawara Esports | 49c | 250$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.15 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Yawara Esports | 37c | 243.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 446 | 43.5%194 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yawara Esports | 52c | 241.46$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.26 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…54b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 34c | 219.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.36 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da6…107abacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 44c | 203.4$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2469…4812backed Yawara Esports | 15c | 202.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yawara Esports | 17c | 197$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977c…57ecbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 37c | 166.16$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.67 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yawara Esports | 64c | 126.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 42c | 122$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yawara Esports | 53c | 97.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Yawara Esports | 20c | 95.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…a2dfbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 85.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Yawara Esports | 54c | 77.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 443 | 44%195 W · 248 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 70c | 67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Yawara Esports | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Yawara Esports | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Yawara Esports | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 399 | 44.1%176 W · 223 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yawara Esports | 37c | 59.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 39c | 56.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 54c | 51.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yawara Esports | 38c | 50.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yawara Esports | 55c | 48.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 75c | 15.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 PlayoffsBounty Hunters Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.