Asian League · resolved market
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-05-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb90ff0277f536cfbf0257ee562796a19787896d7ba1b4adeb01b636a87d10582
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 23c | 5,061$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.19 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 3,603$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.4 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 245 | 23.3%57 W · 188 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 21c | 1,425$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked No | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.39 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked Yes | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 19c | 618.08$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.3 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 72c | 480$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.76 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 48c | 404.65$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.23 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 45c | 392.29$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.62 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Yes | 40c | 277.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e9…8588backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 80c | 251.33$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.06 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a6…bc60backed Yes | 48c | 249.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 45c | 245.94$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.29 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 53c | 244.42$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.53 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1017…c669backed Yes | 74c | 242.93$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.7 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 19c | 237.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 55c | 228$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.52 | 158 | 72.2%114 W · 44 L | +34.3wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +64%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…9cd0backed Yes | 48c | 208.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 72c | 207.93$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Yes | 47c | 199.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked No | 52c | 190.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 53c | 190.47$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.52 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 24c | 170$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 273 | 37%101 W · 172 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 25c | 137.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 51c | 132$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…b5c9backed Yes | 19c | 113.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 59c | 112.78$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Yes | 30c | 89.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 37c | 88.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 85.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 51c | 76.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 284 | 64.8%184 W · 100 L | +29.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 53c | 71.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes | 37c | 67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 63.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Yes | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 31c | 59.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 56c | 48.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Yes | 38c | 48.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 38c | 47.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 39c | 46.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 53c | 44.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 424 | 51.2%217 W · 207 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 54c | 42.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 47c | 42.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 52c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…8077backed Yes | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…6cc3backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 44c | 23.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 398 | 55.8%222 W · 176 L | +31.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 72c | 22.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 56c | 22.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…490cbacked No | 77c | 21.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 55c | 18.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-05-30?this page
- Will Avispa Fukuoka vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?Yes won
- Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-05-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.