MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x655b5cea48db639e2aceea86934586e79adcb939647ecee95aad6f1631a7d93c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Atlanta Braves, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 7,251$3,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,283.46 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 5,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.98 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 58c | 4,417$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.74 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…2f33backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 4,261$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.29 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 1,827$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.48 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Chicago White Sox | 56c | 1,820$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 1,626$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.24 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 1,110$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 1,016$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.57 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 898.03$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.9 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 35c | 568.8$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.81 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 513.89$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 452.81$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.29 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 440$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 420$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Chicago White Sox | 73c | 416$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 27c | 416$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 389.13$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52e…8d09backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 344$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta Braves | 12c | 332$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago White Sox | 69c | 295.5$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 288.13$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.66 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 267.09$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.52 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb85…f0a4backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 244.13$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.3 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 240$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 219$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.55 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 190.91$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974d…bd82backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 160$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 114.15$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 113.47$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 112$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 88.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…96cbbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 87.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…2751backed Chicago White Sox | 72c | 82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago White Sox | 72c | 78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 67.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Chicago White Sox | 56c | 61.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcc…13c3backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 50.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 46.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…28f3backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…880ebacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 35.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +10.3wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Chicago White Sox | 69c | 34.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb6…d381backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…d26dbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 27.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 26.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46a…1adabacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 21.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Chicago White Sox | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Chicago White Sox | 68c | 17.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Chicago White Sox | 76c | 16.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.