MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55b96c488389701759c33856ffa7b169f269d3ef47f50aa9291ca91429efd6b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Chicago White Sox, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 7,034$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.63 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 6,000$2,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061.15 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 4,141$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.14 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 67c | 2,271$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.39 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Chicago White Sox | 29c | 2,063$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.3 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Braves | 77c | 1,620$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.29 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Atlanta Braves | 75c | 1,149$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.25 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 846$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.9 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 699.1$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.44 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 323$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.3 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 303.09$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.16 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago White Sox | 24c | 253.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Chicago White Sox | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago White Sox | 13c | 134$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…f6f6backed Chicago White Sox | 30c | 121.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Atlanta Braves | 75c | 106.61$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Atlanta Braves | 75c | 105.76$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Chicago White Sox | 31c | 96.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 92.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 78.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 68.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 62.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 60.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 46.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Chicago White Sox | 26c | 43.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Chicago White Sox | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Atlanta Braves | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 35.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 33.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 30.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Atlanta Braves | 72c | 18.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 86 | 69.8%60 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Atlanta Braves | 73c | 13.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.