MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0f0dd9dd67bb68c44b97711b6d692c5404cb1eb8e594de8e5d68fd4efb814be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 53c | 13,000$6,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,889.99 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 12,843$6,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,301.98 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Over | 52c | 8,385$4,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360.39 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 47c | 7,777$3,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,121.81 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Under | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Over | 51c | 6,998$3,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,558.8 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 53c | 5,000$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.98 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Over | 50c | 4,018$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.08 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Over | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 52c | 3,013$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.44 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 2,543$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.67 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 2,269$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.27 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Under | 47c | 1,942$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.25 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 1,821$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.65 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 1,627$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.17 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 52c | 1,555$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.6 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under | 48c | 1,383$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.05 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 1,260$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 943.3$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.08 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 48c | 939.12$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.34 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 50c | 741.16$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.58 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Under | 48c | 658.96$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.66 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 53c | 566.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.14 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Under | 48c | 480.92$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.08 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…6007backed Over | 53c | 445.45$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.09 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 403$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.44 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Under | 50c | 319.9$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.96 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 51c | 299.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Over | 51c | 265.61$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 53c | 226.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 52c | 217$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Over | 8c | 212.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Under | 48c | 212$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9e6cbacked Under | 48c | 197.96$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.55 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 49c | 189.67$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.73 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…9ed5backed Under | 48c | 185.88$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 47c | 164.34$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.09 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Under | 48c | 158.76$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 50c | 156.78$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Under | 74c | 155.97$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 152.63$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Under | 47c | 140$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 53c | 124.53$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 123.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…96cbbacked Over | 53c | 112.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Over | 50c | 101.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 17c | 87.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…c755backed Under | 48c | 84.28$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…381abacked Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 77.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 54c | 77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 52c | 72.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Under | 48c | 69.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 51c | 68.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…d26dbacked Over | 54c | 65.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 48c | 64.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 53c | 58.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…10e8backed Under | 53c | 53.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 48c | 52.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 53c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 48c | 48.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 48c | 44.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 47c | 42.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Over | 54c | 38.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e00…d2bfbacked Under | 48c | 36.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ad…dffebacked Under | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3353backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Under | 48c | 26.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Under | 49c | 22.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 50c | 20.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles AngelsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.