MLB · resolved market

Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc06fc0d9dc2514afd3ff3db1958c777279dce06799f59d8e95d6a455138bf684

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $93,717
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $93,547

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,717 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under	66c	43,210$28,358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,357.55	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	35c	21,972$7,673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,298.5	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over	50c	12,600$6,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,300	448	51.6%231 W · 217 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	34c	9,571$3,252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,318.99	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under	50c	7,777$3,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,888.5	479	53.2%255 W · 224 L	+18.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	49c	6,181$3,029 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,152.03	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	34c	4,701$1,612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,088.97	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	40c	2,772$1,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,109.56	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	66c	2,640$1,730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,729.91	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over	34c	2,240$772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,467.68	1,379	50.6%698 W · 681 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	203	50.7%103 W · 100 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under	4c	1,999$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.71	1,927	17.2%331 W · 1,596 L	-320.3wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	50c	1,782$899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$898.93	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over	35c	1,466$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$956.5	792	55.6%440 W · 352 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over	34c	1,462$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$961.63	970	50.7%492 W · 478 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	59c	1,441$856 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$585.01	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over	48c	1,250$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650	175	46.9%82 W · 93 L	-9.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	42c	1,008$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.75	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	384	55.2%212 W · 172 L	+9.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	51c	900.13$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.67	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over	34c	870.21$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570.25	1,733	49%849 W · 884 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under	50c	866.88$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.43	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Over	35c	814.41$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$531.98	324	50.9%165 W · 159 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7381…d95dbacked Under	70c	425.99$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	50c	420$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed Under	66c	275.48$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.65	133	57.9%77 W · 56 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Under	65c	272.38$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.33	111	50.5%56 W · 55 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over	35c	242.46$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.66	1,133	57.2%648 W · 485 L	+35.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over	50c	240$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	945	49%463 W · 482 L	-38.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over	35c	228.65$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.61	660	56.2%371 W · 289 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Over	48c	209.85$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.16	507	48.7%247 W · 260 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	65c	201.47$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.25	3,208	51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L	+146.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,000	52.4%524 W · 476 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7891…c020backed Under	70c	182.37$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.02	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	-5.8wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over	65c	170.23$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.58	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	56c	165$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.4	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over	49c	138.85$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.51	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under	29c	137.93$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	67	53.7%36 W · 31 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under	61c	128.15$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.77	2,583	61.4%1,587 W · 996 L	+70.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Over	34c	116.33$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.59	253	57.3%145 W · 108 L	+14.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under	50c	110$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	1,753	50.8%890 W · 863 L	+29.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	35c	95.02$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.92	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over	33c	92.75$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.14	694	47.6%330 W · 364 L	-9.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over	33c	84$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.28	1,119	45.5%509 W · 610 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Under	68c	78.12$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.12	143	53.1%76 W · 67 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under	51c	72.86$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.16	1,083	56.3%610 W · 473 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over	46c	71.15$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.54	1,042	49.4%515 W · 527 L	+13.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over	34c	66.68$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.15	1,725	50.1%864 W · 861 L	-4.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5965…d26dbacked Over	51c	65.74$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.21	164	50.6%83 W · 81 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over	58c	60$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.4wins	-0.35per pick	63cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Under	49c	59.04$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.72	1,445	50.3%727 W · 718 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	51c	59$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.91	1,843	43.6%804 W · 1,039 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6136…96cbbacked Over	51c	58.94$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.08	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c1…7e8ebacked Over	50c	56.9$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.45	196	54.1%106 W · 90 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8541…5c16backed Over	74c	54.05$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.05	56	64.3%36 W · 20 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over	53c	47$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.18	705	46.8%330 W · 375 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	40c	44.46$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.76	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	47c	44.07$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.89	2,545	45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L	-73.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Over	36c	41.29$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.29	516	56.6%292 W · 224 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Under	27c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	778	36%280 W · 498 L	-17.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	192	52.6%101 W · 91 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeff4…2aa4backed Over	51c	35.21$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.25	133	53.4%71 W · 62 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Over	50c	33.67$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.96	830	53%440 W · 390 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0098…71e0backed Over	34c	31.82$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.85	152	52%79 W · 73 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under	62c	30.77$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.93	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under	56c	30.66$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.32	1,014	50.4%511 W · 503 L	+52.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Under	65c	30.54$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-3.8wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	597	49.9%298 W · 299 L	+19.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6123…8b33backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	268	53.7%144 W · 124 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over	46c	28.52$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.41	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b2…6a58backed Over	49c	21$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.71	127	53.5%68 W · 59 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Over	79c	20.63$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.33	86	69.8%60 W · 26 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	66cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74dd…f3c5backed Under	72c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	112	54.5%61 W · 51 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	40	50%20 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce8b…738abacked Over	72c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.6	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	-6.8wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc02b…13d1backed Under	68c	17.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.95	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under	72c	16.58$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.94	2,223	55.4%1,231 W · 992 L	+73.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1631…072dbacked Over	74c	14.61$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.75	773	53.9%417 W · 356 L	+35.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5this page
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit TigersMinnesota Twins won
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 12.5Under won
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit TigersNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event