MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe30fec2458694d7affdd939b070a52f2541827fb6a885d2a1b4447767c19b0f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Detroit Tigers, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 65c | 26,996$17,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,316.15 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 34c | 9,863$3,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,385.12 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 29c | 9,393$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 34c | 6,167$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.11 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Detroit Tigers | 28c | 817.24$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.24 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 787.84$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.11 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 653.55$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.1 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Detroit Tigers | 32c | 500.06$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.76 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 455.85$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.58 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Detroit Tigers | 19c | 454$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.28 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 402.96$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.3 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Minnesota Twins | 77c | 399.62$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.91 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 336.41$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.03 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 72c | 328.19$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.37 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 280.37$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 280.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 278.1$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.15 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 276.45$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Detroit Tigers | 26c | 269.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 245.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.33 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Detroit Tigers | 34c | 221.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 220$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 207$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 183.87$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Minnesota Twins | 68c | 163.64$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 140.68$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Detroit Tigers | 32c | 135.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Detroit Tigers | 34c | 131.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 126.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 78.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…2751backed Minnesota Twins | 76c | 78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Minnesota Twins | 77c | 78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 70.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Detroit Tigers | 34c | 66.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Minnesota Twins | 69c | 62.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 59.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Detroit Tigers | 24c | 57.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Detroit Tigers | 23c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7891…c020backed Minnesota Twins | 69c | 45.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 41.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 79c | 41.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Detroit Tigers | 32c | 38.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Minnesota Twins | 67c | 30.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 28.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…c1c8backed Minnesota Twins | 68c | 28.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6413…8200backed Minnesota Twins | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Detroit Tigers | 76c | 18.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Minnesota Twins | 77c | 16.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit TigersMinnesota Twins won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.