Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68f0fdcf08d136ad0ca307ddb199c076f900b83985029bdf21bd1c09fd1f1931
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 2c | 5,978$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.92 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked Yes | 6c | 947.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…fa62backed Yes | 2c | 746.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +366.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 4c | 609.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 37c | 594.21$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.81 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5afebacked Yes | 19c | 508.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…1310backed Yes | 23c | 498.9$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 11c | 495.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 17c | 367.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…907bbacked No | 70c | 353.35$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.41 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 318.09$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked No | 65c | 313.78$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.36 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 22c | 306.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 16c | 305.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 79c | 298.3$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…e2dcbacked Yes | 21c | 250$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…727bbacked Yes | 19c | 223.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 19c | 209.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked Yes | 30c | 208.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 13c | 199.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 73c | 197.18$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…0b84backed Yes | 27c | 182.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 77c | 161.23$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 25c | 149.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 72c | 149.25$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 12c | 144.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 31c | 144.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…1adfbacked No | 80c | 144.41$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 312 | 62.5%195 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 18c | 141.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167e…0f16backed No | 73c | 135.35$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 30c | 135.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed No | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 18c | 134.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 31c | 133.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed Yes | 34c | 133$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 9c | 127.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec7c…7ad4backed Yes | 22c | 112$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 35c | 107.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 29c | 105.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc16…d090backed Yes | 17c | 104.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 39c | 103.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…c706backed Yes | 13c | 102.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 308 | 13.6%42 W · 266 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 15c | 102.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad1…8151backed Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 12c | 94.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 76c | 89.03$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 29c | 86.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x950d…d4cfbacked Yes | 17c | 86.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 23c | 86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…d8e2backed Yes | 14c | 84.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 33c | 76.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…c853backed Yes | 26c | 74.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 78c | 71.36$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 79c | 71.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 175 | 70.3%123 W · 52 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c15…c2bfbacked Yes | 29c | 70.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 68c | 66.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…c51dbacked Yes | 21c | 66.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0857…dc72backed Yes | 30c | 65.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc9…b10bbacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…158abacked Yes | 20c | 63.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…4841backed Yes | 20c | 58.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 75c | 56.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…4d6bbacked No | 69c | 54.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed No | 69c | 54.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18ef…e590backed Yes | 23c | 52.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 20c | 52.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…6d11backed No | 77c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 349 | 70.2%245 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14da…0af1backed No | 77c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6c…8cc1backed No | 80c | 50.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd912…32a2backed No | 65c | 50.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b2…31c9backed Yes | 23c | 50.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 26c | 50.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…5ec7backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…780fbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…f4f2backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…152ebacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…65afbacked No | 79c | 49.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 277 | 71.5%198 W · 79 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 76c | 49.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked No | 75c | 48.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 31c | 48.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 23c | 47.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 24c | 46.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 72c | 46.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 41c | 44.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 351 | 33.6%118 W · 233 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 26c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…0c07backed No | 70c | 43.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…e5c6backed No | 77c | 35.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 80c | 32.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 63c | 31.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…13b5backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7f…7428backed Yes | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec50…e521backed No | 71c | 30.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.