Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf28c37dbc629da4146e5b0a2ce3b0781526be7727ce16beede1a198be22f4864
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x738c…557abacked Yes | 1c | 6,855$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 2c | 692.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…2260backed Yes | 18c | 565.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked Yes | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cb…4629backed Yes | 15c | 443.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…bc39backed Yes | 11c | 399$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 5c | 374.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…85f7backed Yes | 19c | 311.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 11c | 298.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 5c | 275.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 15c | 273.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 19c | 272.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 191 | 23%44 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056d…c0c2backed No | 74c | 269.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 78c | 234.16$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 79c | 232.64$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 11c | 228.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…96cbbacked Yes | 14c | 225.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5afebacked No | 76c | 221.5$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 17c | 204.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 22c | 199.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 77c | 157.28$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…f77fbacked Yes | 22c | 150.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 26c | 146.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c6…58f9backed Yes | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…780fbacked Yes | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 77c | 136.18$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…bdedbacked No | 74c | 134.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 79c | 132$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 26c | 124.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 74c | 123.03$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f40…887cbacked Yes | 9c | 121.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 10c | 121.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 78c | 119.85$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 13c | 119.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…0c07backed Yes | 22c | 116.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 20c | 115.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 78c | 109.55$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 74c | 108$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 23c | 105.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 73c | 103.2$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 75c | 102.88$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…ff31backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…dc20backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 31c | 99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 23c | 98.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 77c | 94.84$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…1154backed Yes | 18c | 92.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Yes | 22c | 91.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579d…247cbacked Yes | 18c | 87.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 27c | 86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 18c | 83.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 18c | 82.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d2…6efcbacked Yes | 18c | 73.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 219 | 30.1%66 W · 153 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 20c | 73.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 77c | 71.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 175 | 70.3%123 W · 52 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 28c | 70.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 76c | 70.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1d…c41dbacked No | 74c | 67.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9838…8469backed Yes | 30c | 66.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 21c | 66.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…b2b8backed Yes | 19c | 64.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e6…ab8abacked No | 80c | 62.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 76c | 59.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2995…8410backed Yes | 26c | 53.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…00afbacked Yes | 23c | 52.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 72c | 51.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c52…1411backed Yes | 28c | 51.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 464 | 52.2%242 W · 222 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…48c1backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 197 | 20.8%41 W · 156 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…b975backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +91%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0c…dd26backed Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 26c | 49.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…a03cbacked Yes | 22c | 48.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 27c | 47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 30c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 33c | 45.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb563…26bfbacked Yes | 24c | 45.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 79c | 45.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 26c | 45.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…2554backed Yes | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…affdbacked Yes | 27c | 36.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5868…64c8backed No | 74c | 35.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed No | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d8…dfebbacked No | 77c | 32.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23c…e889backed No | 76c | 26.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 74c | 26.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 79c | 23.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 75c | 23.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 72c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…940ebacked No | 68c | 21.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…7ef6backed No | 68c | 21.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 116 | 70.7%82 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 70c | 20.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…ae9bbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…ff90backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 240 | 53.3%128 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe805…e416backed No | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…7e54backed No | 73c | 15.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.