Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x446bf5c45019c3ad9707ac49ec2174cc68f658bc6b6f42178b244840111217a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb71…3e7bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 5c | 456$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 351 | 33.6%118 W · 233 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 39c | 426.82$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.61 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadaa…875abacked Yes | 4c | 321.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 30c | 292$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.4 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 24c | 252.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 10c | 244.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 40c | 222.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.91 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 54c | 176.32$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 66c | 171.94$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 18c | 155.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 41c | 152.48$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 62c | 139$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 59c | 123.37$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…8e36backed Yes | 46c | 113$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 23cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d33…6be3backed Yes | 48c | 103.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 36c | 87.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…96cbbacked No | 59c | 87.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 67c | 86.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 57c | 84.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 33c | 79.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 32c | 79.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 40c | 75.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 62c | 68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 55c | 60.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…15c2backed No | 58c | 59.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 173 | 64.7%112 W · 61 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked No | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed Yes | 31c | 52.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…5443backed Yes | 26c | 52.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 63c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 44.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5544…15c9backed Yes | 47c | 42.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 62c | 41.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…2bddbacked No | 37c | 40.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 191 | 23.6%45 W · 146 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 40c | 40.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 39c | 38.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 76c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 64c | 35.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x139e…a5debacked Yes | 41c | 35.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 249 | 51.4%128 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…e0b6backed Yes | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 202 | 30.2%61 W · 141 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 62c | 34.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…a526backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 154 | 66.9%103 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…9e9ebacked No | 62c | 32.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 39 | 87.2%34 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe073…25f9backed No | 62c | 32.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 39c | 31.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1799…3ca9backed No | 64c | 31.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed Yes | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…18a8backed No | 56c | 28.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed No | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 477 | 38.8%185 W · 292 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016d…e9b4backed Yes | 38c | 26.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 39c | 25.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 56c | 25.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…3300backed Yes | 62c | 24.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 65c | 24.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9cbdbacked No | 64c | 24.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…8c1bbacked No | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…e535backed Yes | 44c | 23.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1297…1fb0backed Yes | 63c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked Yes | 58c | 22.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 301 | 68.8%207 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…f816backed No | 58c | 22.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed Yes | 66c | 21.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 53c | 21.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc3…222fbacked No | 57c | 20.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 63c | 20.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 64c | 20.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…00c5backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…5f31backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 289 | 46.4%134 W · 155 L | -14.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d52…c5aabacked No | 55c | 19.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 59c | 18.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7969…9fecbacked No | 80c | 18.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c35…4801backed No | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 66c | 17.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 62c | 17.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9301backed Yes | 63c | 15.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a2…2c18backed No | 68c | 15.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…85ddbacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 96°F or higher on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.