Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7567bb2c98359fb44da785731d932140d762fc8fe9d5c83041df99506d7ed738
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb71…3e7bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,411$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 1c | 1,210$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 19c | 589.04$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.82 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 58c | 430.93$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.76 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 4c | 427.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 351 | 33.6%118 W · 233 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 42c | 356.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.35 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 61c | 334.51$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.16 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 41c | 241.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 14c | 233.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0c…c7f6backed Yes | 8c | 226.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 16c | 210.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 11c | 209.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…0109backed Yes | 10c | 193.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 35c | 168.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 37c | 147.12$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 45c | 145.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1d…c41dbacked No | 71c | 141.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Yes | 7c | 136.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +583.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…8e36backed Yes | 33c | 131.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 23cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 66c | 125.74$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7f…7428backed Yes | 38c | 120.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 77c | 116.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 21c | 114.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 40c | 113.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 27c | 107.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 69c | 100.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 66c | 94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8431…6291backed No | 63c | 90.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…f322backed Yes | 18c | 83.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 19.2%49 W · 206 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…1e24backed No | 68c | 76.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e5…86f4backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 45c | 65.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb725…7b12backed Yes | 43c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed Yes | 36c | 56.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 40c | 55.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b2…31c9backed Yes | 40c | 55.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb724…798bbacked Yes | 38c | 52.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…2fadbacked No | 76c | 50.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 120 | 68.3%82 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…5443backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 37c | 47.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 78c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53a…625fbacked No | 63c | 44.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 58c | 43.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b98…925ebacked Yes | 34c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +164.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 63c | 42.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…e0b6backed Yes | 38c | 41.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 202 | 30.2%61 W · 141 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 63c | 41.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942d…278ebacked Yes | 37c | 41.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 434 | 30.9%134 W · 300 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Yes | 37c | 40.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 166 | 27.7%46 W · 120 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed Yes | 28c | 39.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked No | 73c | 38.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 301 | 68.8%207 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 27c | 37.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 39c | 36.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 64c | 36.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 41c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…ff90backed Yes | 35c | 35.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 240 | 53.3%128 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9838…8469backed No | 64c | 31.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 63c | 30.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 69c | 30.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 591 | 21.5%127 W · 464 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa456…6d13backed Yes | 41c | 30.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d7…0500backed No | 60c | 29.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 59c | 29.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 59c | 29.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 71c | 27.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Yes | 38c | 27.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 59c | 26.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x139e…a5debacked No | 58c | 25.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 249 | 51.4%128 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 58c | 25.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 59c | 25.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7444…d815backed No | 63c | 24.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 64c | 21.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374b…aa2fbacked No | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…a526backed No | 77c | 20.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 154 | 66.9%103 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 60c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed No | 60c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 137 | 65.7%90 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 61c | 17.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 68c | 15.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…4edcbacked No | 72c | 14.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 96°F or higher on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.