MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb807031e54e9835f4a83e7e1579aa22c64fedb8cc213c3fe185170ef15b7a84b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Rays, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed Rays | 41c | 15,291$6,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,269.26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Astros | 59c | 12,300$7,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,043 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Astros | 58c | 4,688$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.51 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rays | 51c | 3,367$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.64 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0425…65d0backed Astros | 55c | 2,580$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 55c | 1,800$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.69 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rays | 71c | 1,454$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.18 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Rays | 40c | 1,409$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.6 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…583bbacked Astros | 60c | 1,363$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Astros | 39c | 1,269$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.41 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Astros | 56c | 1,100$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Astros | 28c | 1,046$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.05 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Rays | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Astros | 59c | 999.85$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.94 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Rays | 45c | 925$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.18 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Astros | 61c | 823.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.33 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Astros | 37c | 656.2$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.11 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rays | 47c | 644.29$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rays | 42c | 601.86$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.76 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c96…abc5backed Astros | 43c | 576.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.11 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Astros | 44c | 570.05$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.05 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Rays | 4c | 550$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Astros | 46c | 542.35$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.22 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Astros | 60c | 517.35$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.25 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 58c | 513.82$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.79 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rays | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Astros | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Astros | 58c | 499.98$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Astros | 47c | 442.43$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.18 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Rays | 52c | 440.81$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.22 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Astros | 51c | 435$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.15 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe142…86d5backed Astros | 58c | 433.41$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.41 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Astros | 29c | 426.2$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.38 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Astros | 33c | 390.97$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.45 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Rays | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rays | 52c | 338$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.66 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 45c | 330.14$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.39 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Astros | 41c | 324.39$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.07 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rays | 43c | 312.86$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.53 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Astros | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 56c | 248.75$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Astros | 35c | 228.46$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.46 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rays | 39c | 205.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.32 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 60c | 199.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Astros | 59c | 199.97$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Rays | 39c | 199.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Astros | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Astros | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astros | 59c | 181.14$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2910…fea3backed Astros | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rays | 49c | 139.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Rays | 53c | 133$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…dc4fbacked Rays | 40c | 131.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Rays | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Astros | 59c | 119$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7af…fddfbacked Rays | 41c | 116.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73dd…134bbacked Rays | 41c | 115.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a8…52febacked Astros | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Astros | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Astros | 59c | 99.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Rays | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…c525backed Rays | 41c | 91.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe561…a68dbacked Astros | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd090…bb53backed Astros | 61c | 88.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f8…7640backed Astros | 61c | 87.49$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fb…41c6backed Astros | 61c | 86.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd091…d992backed Astros | 61c | 86.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Rays | 46c | 85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Astros | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…3226backed Astros | 61c | 83.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…5f89backed Astros | 61c | 82.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6985…90e8backed Astros | 61c | 80.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b40…2aa0backed Rays | 41c | 80.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Rays | 42c | 77.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…3583backed Astros | 61c | 73.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59be…c8f9backed Rays | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 58c | 68.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rays | 41c | 67.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Rays | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Astros | 60c | 59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9169…a4c0backed Rays | 41c | 56.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…9790backed Astros | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Astros | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…8339backed Rays | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Rays | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rays | 39c | 48.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Astros | 54c | 48.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…215fbacked Astros | 60c | 43.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Astros | 57c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…6aa1backed Rays | 40c | 35.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…8444backed Astros | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…e6a5backed Rays | 41c | 33.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c8…4b32backed Rays | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51d4…122cbacked Astros | 61c | 30.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Rays | 50c | 29.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…41dcbacked Rays | 41c | 27.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c805backed Astros | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.