TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,311
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,566

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,311 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4fcc…5f1bbacked Yes5c7,381$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40510936.7%40 W · 69 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes4c6,812$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.31,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…3066backed Yes6c5,234$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003522.9%8 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Yes10c4,000$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.3421640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes8c3,652$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.074314%6 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-71.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c59…11acbacked Yes9c3,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003112.9%4 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-38.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b5b…576fbacked Yes3c2,924$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.223633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes7c2,592$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.4936123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f03…ec6abacked Yes5c2,019$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007824.4%19 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes5c1,981$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5655044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Yes11c1,700$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2414440.3%58 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f92…2c2dbacked Yes20c1,677$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.263823.7%9 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes8c1,636$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5679231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e7…2380backed Yes5c1,573$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.253821.1%8 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d28…037ebacked Yes9c1,473$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e88…24d1backed Yes15c1,465$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.051717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-68.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked Yes7c1,375$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8717919%34 W · 145 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1383…0516backed Yes7c1,243$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd99…584dbacked Yes8c1,156$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0730%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd59…0a77backed Yes5c1,073$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf63a…d769backed Yes7c1,055$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.992810.7%3 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-55.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes3c1,021$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.516098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes6c1,005$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.711674.2%7 W · 160 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-51.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes7c999.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0b…36e5backed Yes5c980.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick12cpaid+226.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes7c881.1$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.418,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ba…5b5ebacked Yes4c880.26$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.212638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f6d…e72cbacked Yes8c875$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703330.3%10 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes9c856$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.111,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes5c831.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8319445.4%88 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No69c800$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.848961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c791$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.682021.5%3 W · 199 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa03d…d98cbacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes11c708.95$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7426037.3%97 W · 163 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa83c…f175backed Yes8c664.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502030%6 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+57.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No75c620.52$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1333555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcd2…0eacbacked Yes23c619.68$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.12175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44e2…b51abacked Yes4c600.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258420.2%17 W · 67 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc9e…a324backed Yes17c590$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96b4…7efabacked Yes3c588.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202934.5%10 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4b7…cf20backed Yes5c534.23$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.681421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick17cpaid-28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes4c517$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.217138%65 W · 106 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad58…7624backed Yes6c499.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.59043.3%39 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes6c491.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8116333.7%55 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes6c490.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.997799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4abe…37b7backed Yes3c470.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd0…f9e7backed Yes7c457.88$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.412146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Yes21c457.24$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.49728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3d…d63fbacked Yes18c449.73$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.742729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92a9…fb3cbacked Yes5c438.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.871747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+30.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbe…04d2backed Yes8c419.02$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes8c398.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6170%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes11c389.23$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2542737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes8c387.38$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9940355.3%223 W · 180 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes13c386.85$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110740.2%43 W · 64 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf569…482fbacked Yes13c384.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d0…0736backed Yes8c361.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3031543.5%137 W · 178 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd423…99e9backed Yes9c334.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305742.1%24 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes27c327.08$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.782,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed Yes7c318.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5811636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb62b…7b89backed Yes3c315.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38de…8025backed Yes8c307.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2580%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Yes4c300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61030%3 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick19cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9188…e046backed Yes8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-69.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes7c299.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015317%26 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes10c286.39$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.222937.5%22 W · 271 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12de…00ddbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8c…3f39backed Yes6c284.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80e7…d3fbbacked Yes6c258.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c18…a04cbacked Yes10c247.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf44d…68acbacked No80c243.7$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.742725.9%7 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc288…2ee3backed Yes10c238.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x292b…697dbacked Yes8c236.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022343.9%98 W · 125 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes10c234.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8111611.2%13 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-66.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes8c230.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.86402.5%1 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-57.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab20…10dabacked Yes5c224.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91b3…77d6backed Yes6c217.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.29250%0 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes8c213.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes11c212.72$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.682,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f40…5819backed Yes15c208.27$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2440%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa2…99a5backed Yes5c204.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f1e…fbb1backed Yes6c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes6c200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.617632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61c7…01ddbacked Yes11c199.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.57233.3%24 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes13c197.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7366239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes8c196$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5498439.2%386 W · 598 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0925…dda4backed Yes7c180$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.882343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x323e…964abacked Yes12c173.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204136.6%15 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-34.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1db0…d7abbacked Yes7c171.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes15c160$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1523543%101 W · 134 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a1…e17dbacked Yes16c155.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253818.4%7 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-43.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5011…220ebacked No62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes7c150$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.123245.7%106 W · 126 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f7…0312backed Yes7c150$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.058348.2%40 W · 43 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x690b…8aedbacked Yes7c149.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.69130%0 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes8c143.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5648636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xb975…6a9ebacked Yes9c142.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8720…b4f2backed Yes23c137.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.11728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-56.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf400…1620backed Yes9c130$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6371…c310backed Yes17c129.18$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.963542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.