MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a159474d7791f289610f35e962b5edf079c4fe2f93789bdcb0774632a39e407
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $334,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $333,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 51c | 149,284$76,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,149.03 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Under | 50c | 101,996$50,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,997.84 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Over | 49c | 61,518$30,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,143.96 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 59,903$29,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,432.91 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 25,231$12,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,363.2 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 17,482$8,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,563.98 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Under | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…52dcbacked Under | 51c | 10,300$5,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,048.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 49c | 6,804$3,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,334 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 49c | 5,555$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.05 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over | 51c | 5,399$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 5,210$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.9 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…d98abacked Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 4,262$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.54 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 49c | 3,266$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.34 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 2,800$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.43 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Under | 46c | 2,033$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.78 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 1,606$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.23 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 50c | 1,500$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Under | 51c | 1,371$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.89 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Under | 50c | 1,350$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 50c | 1,250$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 51c | 1,229$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.74 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 51c | 1,229$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.74 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under | 51c | 1,112$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.95 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 33c | 1,031$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.02 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.78 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 50c | 929.63$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.82 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 36c | 829.6$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.76 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 781.25$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.02 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 49c | 719.99$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.79 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 625.13$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.21 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 49c | 619.12$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.37 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Over | 51c | 590$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Under | 51c | 588.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.18 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 49c | 580.12$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.62 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 48c | 574.87$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.48 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…27a6backed Under | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Under | 51c | 489.71$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.96 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 49c | 421.57$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.94 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 408$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 50c | 399.97$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 378.67$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.16 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Under | 51c | 329.12$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.27 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7229…ff73backed Under | 51c | 328.45$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee72…1996backed Under | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Under | 51c | 282.91$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.63 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 53c | 281.01$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.94 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Under | 59c | 271.19$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.19 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under | 51c | 260$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9e6cbacked Under | 51c | 255.84$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.36 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Under | 51c | 213.31$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68da…37b5backed Under | 23c | 212.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.09 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Under | 51c | 203.69$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.81 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…01ddbacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…6452backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…c92dbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 53c | 186.11$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 53c | 186.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 49c | 161.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.45 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Under | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 24c | 148.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.58 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…bd11backed Under | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…365abacked Over | 50c | 146.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…a8efbacked Under | 71c | 141.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Over | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 64c | 132.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Under | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 218 | 51.4%112 W · 106 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 53c | 127.02$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Under | 51c | 117.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49ae…dc88backed Over | 49c | 110.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over | 51c | 102.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…9779backed Under | 51c | 101.89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…3691backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…f655backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…f631backed Under | 51c | 99.9$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5this page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.