TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6db6…5001

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Cricket, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST5313.2%7 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+165.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$42.7
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+3,495.8%+$699.16
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.04
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.95
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.85
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$51.13
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+4,900%+$1,051.85
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$25.26
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$16.88
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$36.35
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$14.45
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.13
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+580.3%+$119.42
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.38
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT3129%9 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.72
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$15.45
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
T20 World Cup: Ireland vs Oman (Game 1)backed Oman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12
T20 World Cup: Canada vs UAE (Game 1)backed UAE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+900%+$90
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Nepal (Game 1)backed Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$200.8
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Oman (Game 1)backed Oman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$21
T20 World Cup: England vs West Indies (Game 1)backed West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+143.9%+$147.5
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+69.4%+$173.62
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 4)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+123.1%+$69.65
T20 World Cup: Pakistan vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs Netherlands (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.5
T20 World Cup: Oman vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Oman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100.1
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Scotland (Game 1)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Ireland (Game 1)backed Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.14
T20 World Cup: England vs Nepal (Game 1)backed Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$133.01
T20 World Cup: Netherlands vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
U19 World Cup: England Under-19s vs India Under-19sbacked England Under-19s · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$79.77
International T20 Series: Afghanistan vs West Indies (Game 1)backed West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
International T20 Series: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 3)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+900%+$180
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$38.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$52.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.