Cricket · resolved market
International T20 Series: Afghanistan vs West Indies (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06638db902657dda38889b9fbae99f4bdb101b0eafaa5e6a0a4100d6f6f598ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Afghanistanof Afghanistan, West Indies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a3d…4841backed West Indies | 19c | 5,653$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.89 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed West Indies | 9c | 2,612$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 194 | 50%97 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed West Indies | 27c | 2,010$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.06 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef51…c0d3backed West Indies | 23c | 1,657$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.74 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked West Indies | 23c | 1,437$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.47 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed West Indies | 36c | 1,348$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.48 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9d24backed Afghanistan | 63c | 1,262$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2312…016fbacked Afghanistan | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed West Indies | 41c | 623.31$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.69 | 66 | 9.1%6 W · 60 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Afghanistan | 51c | 376.38$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.55 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Afghanistan | 50c | 286$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db6…5001backed West Indies | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Afghanistan | 78c | 278.8$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.34 | 115 | 24.3%28 W · 87 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6756…8edcbacked West Indies | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Afghanistan | 65c | 229.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Afghanistan | 46c | 189.5$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked West Indies | 54c | 186.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8663…6888backed Afghanistan | 60c | 183.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed West Indies | 43c | 178$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…c8cebacked Afghanistan | 53c | 157.26$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed West Indies | 39c | 142.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Afghanistan | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…4637backed Afghanistan | 51c | 139.76$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…0d11backed Afghanistan | 55c | 139.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e44…53d0backed West Indies | 50c | 138.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…993dbacked Afghanistan | 56c | 130.92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked West Indies | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 192 | 65.6%126 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed West Indies | 46c | 122.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked West Indies | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a72…62a0backed West Indies | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7f…53e2backed West Indies | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…0b62backed Afghanistan | 57c | 94.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked West Indies | 52c | 92.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…4adfbacked Afghanistan | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45f4…631dbacked Afghanistan | 79c | 88.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked West Indies | 37c | 80.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Afghanistan | 47c | 79.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed West Indies | 16c | 77.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed West Indies | 52c | 73.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…1b48backed Afghanistan | 55c | 70.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked West Indies | 55c | 70.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Afghanistan | 50c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Afghanistan | 59c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…35c3backed Afghanistan | 56c | 53.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed West Indies | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7408…cf2ebacked West Indies | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Afghanistan | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…5a70backed Afghanistan | 54c | 49.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed West Indies | 41c | 46.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…e0dbbacked Afghanistan | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…1977backed Afghanistan | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ad…ad96backed Afghanistan | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…2374backed Afghanistan | 58c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…c762backed Afghanistan | 49c | 31.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed West Indies | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b0…2a3fbacked West Indies | 38c | 29.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffd…74bfbacked Afghanistan | 63c | 25.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc28…10a3backed West Indies | 55c | 25.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5390…8e0dbacked Afghanistan | 49c | 24.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…91b9backed Afghanistan | 75c | 23.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…592fbacked West Indies | 54c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.