World Politics · resolved market
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album by February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ce66325a465b9009a30fe3a871f76eb9275ad5659afd4f89c9045d1fc053b24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 0c | 18,752$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed No | 0c | 17,613$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 0c | 16,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f89…ccf7backed No | 0c | 9,942$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 6,033$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…411dbacked No | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a9…5976backed No | 1c | 2,049$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 10c | 1,920$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf603…82f1backed No | 1c | 1,799$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -59%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 3c | 1,626$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 1,583$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4843…84c1backed No | 14c | 1,501$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0c…6567backed No | 7c | 1,499$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 3c | 1,488$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked No | 3c | 1,469$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 6c | 1,275$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 9c | 1,236$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.34 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…33f7backed No | 1c | 1,115$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked No | 4c | 1,058$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 3c | 868.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 3c | 848.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 115 | 2.6%3 W · 112 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 4c | 798.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 77 | 2.6%2 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed No | 2c | 797.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 4c | 699.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked No | 14c | 681.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bf…9752backed No | 6c | 674.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes | 76c | 598.77$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.59 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…1be0backed No | 34c | 590.33$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 4c | 512.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae9…d661backed Yes | 67c | 494.9$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 22c | 482$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.44 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked No | 10c | 477.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…b716backed No | 8c | 477.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed No | 6c | 470.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x694a…6530backed No | 13c | 436.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45c…9cf5backed No | 31c | 376.32$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…9837backed No | 40c | 340.92$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…780bbacked No | 42c | 339.97$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 20c | 316.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…0331backed No | 6c | 316.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 21c | 311.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 13c | 304.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…b7a8backed Yes | 65c | 294.34$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 19c | 289.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 203 | 28.6%58 W · 145 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa25f…2772backed Yes | 68c | 278.21$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…c042backed Yes | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +286%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc1…5216backed No | 18c | 235.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1416…f47abacked No | 49c | 230.83$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…c903backed No | 7c | 230.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…c640backed Yes | 72c | 220.59$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b62…c3cbbacked No | 8c | 206.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 15c | 205.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…baa8backed Yes | 76c | 196.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28e…8474backed No | 8c | 168.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed No | 24c | 165.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ec…3ecbbacked No | 9c | 161.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f3…e5c4backed Yes | 63c | 159.88$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 72c | 157.1$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 110 | 69.1%76 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 9c | 152.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…1cd8backed Yes | 64c | 150.7$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eaa…6688backed Yes | 67c | 149.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f95…e2b6backed No | 13c | 142.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd904…4295backed Yes | 59c | 132.38$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Yes | 77c | 129.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46f…87c3backed Yes | 58c | 117.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…65d8backed No | 46c | 109.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47d…fb65backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…8269backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed Yes | 48c | 99.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x505e…affcbacked Yes | 65c | 96.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 15c | 96.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…5c05backed No | 24c | 80.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…d9e0backed No | 28c | 78.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…670dbacked No | 28c | 72.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd214…5fcdbacked Yes | 72c | 71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…10cbbacked Yes | 56c | 70.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…18ffbacked No | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…17adbacked Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 60c | 63.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e13…a14cbacked Yes | 74c | 63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…be3fbacked Yes | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +143%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a27…731cbacked No | 43c | 47.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…7cc5backed No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66f…ea77backed No | 47c | 42.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…8d0fbacked Yes | 54c | 36.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdb…19c6backed Yes | 58c | 34.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4be…2424backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…4a12backed Yes | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…bbe1backed Yes | 60c | 24.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…96c0backed Yes | 57c | 19.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fa…9cf7backed Yes | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.