Earnings · resolved market
Will CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f1934443b26222812fe67bbd99134001e1b20402bc19295b3285851b51c4bc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 2c | 1,767$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.54 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.46per pick | 32cpaid | +681.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9a71backed Yes | 74c | 1,612$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.75 | 21 | 95.2%20 W · 1 L | +6.7wins | +0.32per pick | 63cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…70efbacked No | 24c | 960$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 34c | 930.18$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.98 | 768 | 37.4%287 W · 481 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 8c | 526$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 41c | 289.18$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.33 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8656…f334backed Yes | 65c | 275.02$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Yes | 56c | 249.46$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked No | 20c | 231$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 47c | 199.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 676 | 42.9%290 W · 386 L | -36.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 26c | 185.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…83e3backed Yes | 53c | 184.53$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…b463backed No | 36c | 184.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed No | 33c | 173.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 64c | 153.31$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…96c0backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…bf68backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked Yes | 62c | 128.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…8dd9backed Yes | 80c | 113.33$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…982abacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked No | 42c | 96.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…594ebacked No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 47c | 94.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 39c | 92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 27c | 83.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 464 | 14.2%66 W · 398 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…2e68backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 33c | 70.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 80 | 12.5%10 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…e4e1backed Yes | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd4…d37abacked No | 33c | 61.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 63c | 58.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xface…9d17backed Yes | 60c | 58.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0a…917dbacked No | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 33c | 54.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 582 | 39%227 W · 355 L | -25.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…0b0fbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 117 | 71.8%84 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ac…3eeebacked Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…8fa9backed No | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f3…a2e5backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…21fabacked Yes | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1757…24d3backed No | 44c | 25.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4058…8b1cbacked Yes | 74c | 21.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd25b…dd82backed Yes | 52c | 21.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…b14bbacked Yes | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 79c | 17.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…852fbacked Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.