Movies · resolved market
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd690b9bd00392a65fbad9a95aeffffde6bfec3f38f7f6aadfa214be89e37d7c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 17c | 1,604$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.67 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 1c | 1,360$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed No | 10c | 1,279$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.79 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 7c | 826.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d4…4027backed No | 76c | 721.32$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.15 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…22dbbacked Yes | 51c | 681.16$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…9c20backed Yes | 59c | 655.54$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.54 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 2c | 650.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…57fdbacked Yes | 74c | 472.25$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 18c | 415.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80f…db5ebacked Yes | 79c | 356.1$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 42c | 317.74$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.94 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 9c | 310.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…662dbacked No | 4c | 309.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 75c | 288$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.02 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed No | 22c | 229$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed No | 11c | 206.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 23c | 203.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8710…f9c7backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked No | 79c | 199.82$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.91 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked No | 29c | 191.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 10c | 162.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 17c | 161$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…0ef9backed Yes | 68c | 146.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…d542backed No | 38c | 129$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5967…750dbacked Yes | 63c | 126.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +22.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +88%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed No | 31c | 111$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 70c | 102.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 34c | 94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 23c | 84.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…143bbacked Yes | 26c | 75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed No | 35c | 68.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 35c | 65.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7b…19f1backed Yes | 70c | 64.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 64c | 59.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 29c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb1…a633backed Yes | 57c | 55.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c2…de58backed Yes | 60c | 41.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…94b3backed No | 35c | 40.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 37c | 39.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7464…71cfbacked Yes | 76c | 35.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…98e9backed No | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06c…1671backed Yes | 62c | 32.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…cd2dbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 39c | 28.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -14.5wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 52c | 26.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…d0a1backed Yes | 71c | 24.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 70c | 23.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c4…909dbacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…6d82backed Yes | 67c | 15.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)this page
- Will "11.22.63" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)No won
- Will "Finding Her Edge" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)No won
- Will "Free Bert" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)No won
- Will "His & Hers" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)No won
- Will "Skyscraper Live" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)No won
- Will "Star Search" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)No won
- Will "WWE: Unreal: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.