Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f3e7fa3cba46733f1988b4677d67fa20da15c226f43ab9db9f39e660a42eb1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc8d…84bcbacked No | 13c | 1,694$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 5c | 1,443$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.81 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 34c | 1,298$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.84 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…55c3backed Yes | 49c | 935.87$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…8496backed No | 5c | 850$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 65c | 675.11$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.49 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…4afbbacked No | 4c | 623.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 4c | 608.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…9b7dbacked No | 13c | 580$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 41c | 558.03$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.13 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 14c | 444.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…67fdbacked Yes | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 13c | 374.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 51c | 367.62$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.86 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 12c | 290.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 25c | 205.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…88b8backed No | 8c | 198.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 24c | 197.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 36c | 179.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 79c | 175$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…0bc3backed No | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…9c85backed Yes | 76c | 143.45$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d3…2165backed No | 14c | 125$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 10c | 105.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed No | 10c | 102.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…8fe8backed Yes | 49c | 99.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08a…d61cbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 47c | 51.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c3…9bb4backed Yes | 73c | 41.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff94…c347backed Yes | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 50c | 20.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb1…2630backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4be…c4c1backed Yes | 74c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?this page
- Will Emilio Gonzalez win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?No won
- Will Ken Russell win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?No won
- Will Xavier Suarez win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.