Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcadad14dac1568a73ca9c7e68a90c9876559d0651513c7de834afd32e5b9e079
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 47c | 1,084$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.05 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 9c | 719.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 353 | 23.2%82 W · 271 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 2c | 546.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 9c | 534.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked Yes | 59c | 500.79$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.58 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 65c | 416.85$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.85 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked No | 49c | 320$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.41 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 51c | 279.03$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 34c | 253.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.91 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 66c | 208.61$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.95 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 38c | 206.89$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.11 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…169dbacked Yes | 54c | 202.12$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.66 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 29c | 196.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 32c | 194$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 60c | 190$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.95 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 16c | 181.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d97…05c3backed Yes | 63c | 158.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…092abacked No | 21c | 144.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 247 | 36%89 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 49c | 140.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.92 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 65c | 134.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 43c | 132.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 127.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 10c | 124.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a2…c0c5backed Yes | 65c | 124.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 47c | 108.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 37c | 104.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6540…8344backed Yes | 59c | 101.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…43a8backed No | 54c | 99.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 35c | 85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 25c | 84.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…eec6backed Yes | 78c | 83.7$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…0b84backed Yes | 37c | 80.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 19c | 79.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 59c | 78.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…bf47backed No | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 36c | 76.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…63bebacked No | 53c | 74.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…4d6bbacked No | 41c | 72.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 25c | 68.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 59c | 67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa907…ba96backed Yes | 79c | 63.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked No | 51c | 63.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec4…ce94backed No | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec7c…7ad4backed Yes | 49c | 55.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 45c | 55.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 40c | 55.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 40c | 48.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0479…8cbbbacked Yes | 34c | 48.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 50c | 48.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 44.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 57c | 43.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 43c | 43.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…59e1backed Yes | 77c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 59c | 40.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 58c | 40.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…5f31backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 289 | 46.4%134 W · 155 L | -14.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Yes | 38c | 39.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 166 | 27.7%46 W · 120 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed No | 64c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked No | 53c | 38.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…aa36backed Yes | 54c | 37.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…98dfbacked Yes | 32c | 37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 49c | 34.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 40c | 32.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 48c | 31.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Yes | 53c | 31.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 56cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879e…e339backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe7…33d8backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…d9adbacked No | 53c | 28.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 46c | 27.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…cc41backed Yes | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 44c | 27.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 57c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a02…b863backed Yes | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…e682backed No | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 258 | 68.2%176 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 62c | 24.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 42c | 24.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 54c | 24.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7a…73c0backed No | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…5749backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 58c | 23.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 65c | 23.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed No | 62c | 22.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 137 | 65.7%90 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…49b0backed Yes | 64c | 22.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x278a…dfddbacked No | 50c | 20.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…0b82backed Yes | 74c | 20.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c0…a2d1backed No | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.