TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$514,281
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$552,788

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $514,281 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb412…3026backed No9c33,953$3,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,111.931435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed No8c27,787$2,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,118.2125337.2%94 W · 159 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce66…cc64backed No5c11,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102227.3%6 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a19…e68cbacked No6c9,090$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.3730%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a1…1149backed No14c7,467$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.521729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+1,419.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c3…5d8ebacked No5c6,529$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.664513.3%6 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-65.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96cd…8c9fbacked No2c6,265$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadaf…f9f2backed No1c5,800$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585626.8%15 W · 41 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f0a…f7aabacked No3c5,737$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.5618530.3%56 W · 129 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a49…667ebacked No0c5,341$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick21cpaid+111.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8795…7544backed No7c5,191$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.359334.4%32 W · 61 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked No6c4,949$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.75322.6%12 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No11c4,478$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.6857636.3%209 W · 367 L-27.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb747…b050backed No10c4,396$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.7511247.3%53 W · 59 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4069…b2e6backed No5c4,185$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2034…8daebacked No8c4,000$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3137423%17 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4d…b4e5backed No0c3,398$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x714b…d071backed No10c3,317$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.21010%1 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-79.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No7c2,696$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.8315026%39 W · 111 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd352…4ad6backed No9c2,433$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2195230.8%16 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d6…0fdabacked No7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No6c1,900$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10612345.5%56 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No4c1,480$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.24221.4%9 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-66.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No11c1,468$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.317919%15 W · 64 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-46.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked No7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5085…d8a4backed No15c1,400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.54533.3%15 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5177…93c9backed No8c1,400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.96170%0 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e49…c24cbacked No7c1,363$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.431136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e8b…856ebacked No13c1,348$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.33925.6%10 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfb7…c940backed No7c1,330$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick25cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed No8c1,300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9924736.8%91 W · 156 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c59…1766backed No10c1,221$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-74%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3ce…4c39backed No10c1,211$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.82258%2 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-75.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No5c1,127$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4637117.8%66 W · 305 L-18.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7789…10c8backed No13c1,014$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.82283.6%1 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick11cpaid-83.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7978…5523backed No9c1,013$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.221030%3 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick18cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked No6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011428.9%33 W · 81 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+70.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c1…1efebacked No18c801.87$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.152817.9%5 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick10cpaid-29.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No7c800$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5612040%48 W · 72 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3af7…c6f4backed No13c760.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed No14c756.99$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8413413.4%18 W · 116 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de9…3171backed No8c637.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5170%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7044…327abacked No2c607.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.47520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e8d…5a27backed No7c606$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.441256.4%8 W · 117 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked No6c600$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341494.7%7 W · 142 L+0.3wins0.00per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed No10c554.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.511741%48 W · 69 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-24.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92e9…e440backed No3c500$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.680%0 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbdf7…65d9backed No6c500$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313450%17 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8242…cb6ebacked No8c499.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf515…e56bbacked No15c476.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702634.6%9 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ca3…0182backed No5c440$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.59130%0 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5db…3c45backed No8c437.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceaf…7668backed No10c423.96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf6…559dbacked No9c401.64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7631534%107 W · 208 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3474…0571backed No8c400$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020034%68 W · 132 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed No3c389.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.616883.6%25 W · 663 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed No6c350$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.446836.8%25 W · 43 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf66c…4ab1backed No11c334.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.493116.1%5 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick8cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd434…ebd2backed No15c330.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+215.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7ad…1313backed No11c327.27$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e9e…5f7fbacked No10c324.22$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.422231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-45%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b7e…3ddcbacked No11c320$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe281…e7bfbacked No7c319.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.353912.8%5 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+42.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfa44…064ebacked No7c313.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.96540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked No7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked No8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245234.6%18 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick27cpaid-17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No9c295.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.736742.5%156 W · 211 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a8…be47backed No8c295.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.65616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe638…a296backed No9c290$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.71225%3 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-41.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe952…3f28backed No7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-60.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54db…0174backed No7c271.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9819623%45 W · 151 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No5c259.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9931635.1%111 W · 205 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd129…dcf0backed No11c256.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2330%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f3…3fcdbacked No8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…20ccbacked No13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011331%35 W · 78 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed No8c200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1818628.5%53 W · 133 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc981…a75dbacked No22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445715.8%9 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x414b…0d3fbacked No11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2213334.6%46 W · 87 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6193…d924backed No10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202931%9 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ac8…77cdbacked No9c199.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1830233.8%102 W · 200 L+19.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No8c179.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.321,02228%286 W · 736 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77b6…f279backed No19c155$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.413554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-16.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x002d…2561backed No11c150$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.54231%13 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked No13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.54450%22 W · 22 L+6.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1cdf…c70ebacked No9c137.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.73933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+109.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef72…3464backed Yes65c130$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+89.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1a1…d308backed No11c125$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1af5…89babacked No17c125$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20e3…d1bdbacked No11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9cf…5eacbacked No15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b42…f193backed No14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d55…e08bbacked No35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9419…4201backed No10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106118%11 W · 50 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+65.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae69…accebacked No11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9afd…3028backed No15c90$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.23759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab08…7aaabacked No13c83.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick14cpaid-54.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x790c…033cbacked Yes79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.323860.5%23 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.