TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$241,191
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$205,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,191 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb412…3026backed Yes9c19,729$1,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.351435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes9c15,412$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.3925337.2%94 W · 159 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ac…31d6backed Yes1c10,206$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92e9…e440backed Yes7c8,400$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.6980%0 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd352…4ad6backed Yes8c7,839$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.875230.8%16 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a19…e68cbacked Yes8c7,503$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d9f…edaebacked Yes2c7,026$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e78…ea77backed Yes7c6,558$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.044839.6%19 W · 29 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48aa…f069backed Yes1c6,089$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3460%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce66…cc64backed Yes6c6,000$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3782227.3%6 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes4c4,953$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.021494.7%7 W · 142 L+0.3wins0.00per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe65b…d7f3backed Yes0c3,846$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x310b…67a8backed Yes3c3,250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.752231.8%7 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick21cpaid-14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…8360backed Yes7c3,168$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.73110%0 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes6c2,904$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.257919%15 W · 64 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-46.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d9e…f436backed Yes13c2,301$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9745…efe5backed Yes11c2,172$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2461163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x714b…d071backed Yes7c2,073$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.031010%1 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-79.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d6…0fdabacked Yes7c2,015$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.113033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8795…7544backed Yes8c2,000$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.269334.4%32 W · 61 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29cd…cbc5backed Yes4c1,980$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.163020%6 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-52.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4803…5134backed Yes10c1,891$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-43.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes9c1,585$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2624736.8%91 W · 156 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes6c1,575$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.216883.6%25 W · 663 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7044…327abacked Yes1c1,500$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes10c1,500$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.518036.7%66 W · 114 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes7c1,451$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8608…28ddbacked Yes7c1,395$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a1…1149backed Yes8c1,340$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.781729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+1,419.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79c9…c040backed Yes9c1,263$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.351838.9%7 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick24cpaid+44.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes9c1,258$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7757636.3%209 W · 367 L-27.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x564f…7034backed Yes5c1,157$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.623135.5%11 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick25cpaid-20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x87d3…0e8bbacked Yes9c1,000$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914221.4%9 W · 33 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick13cpaid-3.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805740.4%23 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf661…5ac3backed Yes10c988.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes6c960$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.964221.4%9 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-66.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5a2…9981backed Yes10c953.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-50.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30b3…1620backed Yes3c886.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a69…510fbacked Yes11c805.55$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.38812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-64.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes6c800$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.83545.7%16 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+15.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes7c742$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7127828.1%78 W · 200 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b1c…320ebacked Yes7c738.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+60.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f8…377dbacked Yes4c720.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfde5…676cbacked Yes7c709.62$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.09633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-48.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09fe…76eebacked Yes3c664.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.428741.4%36 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes10c600$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8620325.6%52 W · 151 L-0.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes8c587.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.244766.5%31 W · 445 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c59…1766backed Yes10c554.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.72714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-74%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Yes5c550$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.953933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-42%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb11…0d5ebacked Yes10c514.97$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.492250%11 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+71.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes8c500$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.52871.4%20 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+18.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb04e…c9d5backed Yes10c495.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fc7…f7e0backed Yes7c451.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.74650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes8c420$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1813413.4%18 W · 116 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd79a…1e60backed Yes7c416.76$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4775…c57dbacked Yes6c410.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.411618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5177…93c9backed Yes4c400$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16170%0 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes6c399.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.171,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c00…0788backed Yes7c359.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.074134.1%14 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+68.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x002d…2561backed Yes10c350$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.74231%13 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd30e…1a5dbacked Yes7c350$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.05922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-57.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbcb1…cb6bbacked Yes6c316.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc2…ff8bbacked Yes10c308.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-58%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6fe…8433backed Yes8c305.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.42911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-80.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes4c300$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.14650%23 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked Yes11c299.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325234.6%18 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick27cpaid-17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc48f…c5d3backed Yes7c295.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9cf…5eacbacked Yes9c288.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeadd…a3b3backed Yes4c270.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick12cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes8c270$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.936742.5%156 W · 211 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3474…0571backed Yes7c269$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8420034%68 W · 132 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3835…7f72backed Yes6c262.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-52.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa5…3c24backed Yes4c259.23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-69.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ce…4c39backed Yes7c209.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64258%2 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-75.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce3f…67c9backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165032%16 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78b3…843abacked Yes13c199.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+83%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6e6…c08bbacked Yes8c194.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick33cpaid+82.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes8c190.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.351,02228%286 W · 736 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b0b…5ba9backed Yes8c190$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.941450%7 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5fb…6eb5backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-57.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e15…6ce6backed Yes13c167.19$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.86425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecdb…e282backed Yes7c159.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5940%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39df…644bbacked Yes8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123030%9 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54db…0174backed Yes7c140$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0519623%45 W · 151 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Yes9c139.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0114240.8%58 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x475a…01c1backed Yes8c131.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f3…3b83backed Yes10c101$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42f…78a0backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1137.7%1 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick32cpaid-78.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe827…f98fbacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3978…4309backed Yes11c98.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.881735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-40.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x65eb…7206backed Yes22c90$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe834…3ac0backed Yes23c74.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.612345.5%56 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.