Movies · resolved market
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1838d4401436ef4e3992d4477d16c9abbbd83a76603fb570fa5d5efb5c0c270
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 0c | 6,062$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 4c | 5,625$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed No | 5c | 5,443$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5684…7874backed No | 79c | 4,625$3,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,647.24 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ef…be38backed Yes | 24c | 4,608$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510.55 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed No | 2c | 3,518$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 55c | 2,861$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.69 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 22c | 2,545$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.04 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…0664backed No | 1c | 2,379$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 31c | 2,229$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.43 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 64c | 2,000$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.81 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 26c | 1,796$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.23 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…9fefbacked No | 1c | 1,400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 1,387$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…b07ebacked No | 3c | 1,371$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46e…92c3backed No | 78c | 1,350$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 31c | 1,327$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.41 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…a87fbacked No | 8c | 1,250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 2c | 1,112$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 90 | 1.1%1 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.58 | 162 | 37.7%61 W · 101 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a26…5284backed No | 79c | 977.9$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 2c | 972.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 116 | 4.3%5 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3400…14eebacked No | 3c | 939.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 5c | 800$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…3e80backed No | 27c | 700.11$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6758…d25ebacked No | 14c | 661.79$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3d…6850backed No | 48c | 633.33$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 54c | 519.99$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.54 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 3c | 517.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 3c | 500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 11c | 470.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 51c | 425$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.25 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 3c | 400.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 210 | 9.5%20 W · 190 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 25c | 387.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.63 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed No | 3c | 374.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 53c | 353.89$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.85 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 65c | 350$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 329.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 51c | 323.33$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.43 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…22dbbacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 20c | 300$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…7d32backed No | 37c | 272.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 69c | 260.83$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.36 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01f…5499backed Yes | 47c | 225.57$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.68 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 24c | 222.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.69 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked No | 60c | 213$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.45 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 49c | 198.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…9c20backed Yes | 23c | 197.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.43 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 70c | 195.81$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 49c | 179.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.09 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 61c | 177.26$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.97 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66f1…2dd9backed No | 78c | 174.36$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 26c | 169.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 23c | 150.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.28 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…0814backed No | 16c | 145.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 22c | 144.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.6 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 52c | 142.31$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.88 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 41c | 140$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 51c | 126.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8c…e0f6backed No | 18c | 124.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed No | 14c | 119.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x123e…40a8backed No | 34c | 115$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 21c | 105.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 41c | 104.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 43c | 102$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6971…d4a4backed Yes | 23c | 90$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31de…03ffbacked No | 20c | 86.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 72c | 85.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 61c | 83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Yes | 66c | 77.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x159e…050ebacked Yes | 23c | 75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66a…a0a0backed Yes | 65c | 67.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x632d…ed57backed Yes | 35c | 65.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +186.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 36c | 60.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2720…b451backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…3d6bbacked No | 50c | 59.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…fe6dbacked Yes | 38c | 53.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 66c | 52.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7d…1c5bbacked Yes | 62c | 51.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…d308backed No | 61c | 47.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…36eebacked Yes | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 35c | 44.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -14.5wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 77c | 41.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d21…bd54backed Yes | 49c | 40.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -14.8wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…0707backed No | 79c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x728d…33e0backed Yes | 50c | 39.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…ea03backed No | 69c | 39.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…fbb5backed Yes | 42c | 35.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…2f24backed No | 68c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 58c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…2bf8backed Yes | 55c | 29.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…bd99backed Yes | 58c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f5…ada8backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…803fbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +147%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…c3cdbacked Yes | 56c | 23.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a05…3633backed No | 70c | 19.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?this page
- Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18.5m?No won
- Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18.5m and 21m?No won
- Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 21m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.