Movies · resolved market
Will "Skyscraper Live" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a760320af84c73988bdae95db48b7ca70b4b67b2e379ef98743c357ad3b8c29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d4…4027backed Yes | 70c | 4,063$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.31 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed No | 29c | 1,234$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.43 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 8c | 1,140$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.15 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…3ae7backed No | 3c | 972.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 1c | 884.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 11c | 840.17$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.42 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…9c20backed No | 21c | 618.1$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 14c | 554.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.39 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80f…db5ebacked Yes | 63c | 532.11$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.9 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…e543backed No | 48c | 412.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 25c | 378.62$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.06 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x223d…8ef3backed Yes | 55c | 363.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.46 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 48c | 362.35$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.58 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…5124backed Yes | 76c | 349.37$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 23c | 338.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 22c | 300.58$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 26c | 205.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +22.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +88%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 40c | 166.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed Yes | 16c | 153$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.43 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 71c | 137$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1da6…d380backed No | 40c | 132.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61d…e172backed Yes | 20c | 120$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.58 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6758…d25ebacked No | 10c | 115.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 28c | 108.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 35c | 107.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 28c | 107.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 13c | 101.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.94 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8885…5792backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +69%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…75fabacked Yes | 74c | 99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…d542backed No | 22c | 85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…d485backed Yes | 77c | 77.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 31c | 68.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd940…8d04backed No | 34c | 57.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 36c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -14.5wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 75c | 50.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cf…20d4backed Yes | 66c | 35.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00de…9c2ebacked Yes | 68c | 30.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 36c | 29.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 76c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7464…71cfbacked Yes | 73c | 17.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Skyscraper Live" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)this page
- Will "11.22.63" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)No won
- Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)No won
- Will "Finding Her Edge" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)No won
- Will "Free Bert" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)No won
- Will "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)No won
- Will "Star Search" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.