Movies · resolved market
Will "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5585a25d340219b75e63808aee7928ba9f81bbf80c8168e5a6a6d9ac20372448
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 16c | 2,523$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.35 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed Yes | 20c | 600.09$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.46 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 12c | 531.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…9c20backed No | 80c | 503.64$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 80c | 443.4$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 13c | 436.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 18c | 410.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 15c | 316$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 248.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 14c | 200.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 5c | 191.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 24c | 145.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 17c | 114.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 14c | 102.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…6f30backed Yes | 14c | 74.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 71.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…0b03backed Yes | 31c | 64.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 21c | 61.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)this page
- Will "11.22.63" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)No won
- Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)No won
- Will "Finding Her Edge" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)No won
- Will "Free Bert" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)No won
- Will "Skyscraper Live" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)Yes won
- Will "Star Search" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.