Movies · resolved market
Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x396433943a719657e4d956e2ba4933eb3d29ad2bd3a7538cb7561200590d41be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,737$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 1c | 2,620$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed No | 13c | 1,576$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.57 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 1,350$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 12c | 859.87$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.39 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 28c | 857$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.17 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 31c | 854.92$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.52 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a0…2ab3backed Yes | 35c | 697$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 694.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0158…ab29backed No | 2c | 677.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 21c | 543.2$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.92 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 78c | 500$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.89 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd896…c6bfbacked No | 52c | 470.68$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.92 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.30per pick | 51cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 3c | 440$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 6c | 411.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 90 | 1.1%1 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 10c | 399.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 5c | 399.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 116 | 4.3%5 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…ec41backed Yes | 39c | 399.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…c078backed Yes | 72c | 317.67$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed Yes | 50c | 303.91$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.07 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +14.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 329 | 24%79 W · 250 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…22dbbacked Yes | 34c | 294.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 72c | 278.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…c6debacked No | 69c | 241$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.08 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 32c | 230$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…07cfbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.32per pick | 30cpaid | +205.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…143bbacked Yes | 71c | 167.83$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 39c | 154.37$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.82 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Yes | 35c | 154$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 43c | 153.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 43c | 146.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…d542backed Yes | 31c | 142.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.59 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed No | 51c | 140.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…18debacked Yes | 73c | 136.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53d…9710backed Yes | 74c | 135.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b0…627abacked Yes | 62c | 124.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73d…e07abacked Yes | 27c | 115.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +264.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…76a1backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 10c | 102.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x367f…7b0bbacked Yes | 35c | 100.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…28c3backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 33c | 99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 29c | 93.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21bc…62d0backed Yes | 71c | 92.29$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…89b4backed Yes | 23c | 91.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7749…fad4backed Yes | 53c | 84.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…9bc3backed Yes | 80c | 82.81$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61d…e172backed Yes | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…5ca7backed Yes | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 31c | 65.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 35c | 65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 23c | 62.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +22.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +88%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 29c | 51.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…dedabacked Yes | 28c | 50.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…a496backed Yes | 31c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…803fbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +147%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 46c | 48.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -14.5wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 40.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x745d…4956backed No | 38c | 37.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…a830backed Yes | 62c | 32.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…98e2backed Yes | 69c | 28.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…02e0backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed No | 70c | 19.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)this page
- Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.