Movies · resolved market
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c89f7f1d0f9a8d32f88fe984b1ddda847afd3cc968de9f1ce30b7eda3a630eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 5c | 2,471$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.58 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed Yes | 13c | 1,548$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +14.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,113$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…c6debacked Yes | 60c | 713.65$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.89 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9da…7979backed Yes | 72c | 650$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 67c | 599.91$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.2 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Yes | 42c | 510$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 9c | 476.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 451.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed Yes | 59c | 447.86$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.76 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 397.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 5c | 386.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 90 | 1.1%1 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 6c | 336.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 116 | 4.3%5 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f1…2dd9backed Yes | 61c | 327.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 20c | 304.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5862…eba0backed Yes | 61c | 290$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeed…79c0backed No | 39c | 290$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb796…58a8backed Yes | 50c | 271.62$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes | 69c | 224.77$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.09 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 216.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 33c | 206$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.26 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…9c20backed Yes | 71c | 195.89$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd896…c6bfbacked Yes | 29c | 178.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.30per pick | 51cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x323f…f31ebacked Yes | 61c | 175.66$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…3840backed Yes | 75c | 160.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f6…5274backed Yes | 11c | 159.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…c6d4backed Yes | 69c | 145.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…28c3backed Yes | 56c | 139.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…18debacked Yes | 23c | 132.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1a…84bebacked Yes | 68c | 121.27$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68c…255cbacked Yes | 65c | 110$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…aecebacked No | 35c | 110$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 63c | 105$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…c078backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…6563backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Yes | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d4…0f57backed Yes | 59c | 95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…da11backed No | 41c | 95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7749…fad4backed Yes | 65c | 84.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…43e9backed Yes | 61c | 80.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 50c | 80.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 29c | 74.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +22.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +88%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x21bc…62d0backed Yes | 23c | 72.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90a…2235backed Yes | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e9…b2e0backed Yes | 73c | 43.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3966…be5fbacked Yes | 76c | 40.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59c2…de58backed Yes | 65c | 39.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 29c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c26…7a7abacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd570…b90abacked No | 79c | 30.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6758…d25ebacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68ab…8d7cbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…d02ebacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9396…9586backed Yes | 77c | 19.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)this page
- Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.