TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,347
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,517

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,347 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c8,415$4,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,522.218,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under31c4,672$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,213.191,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over40c4,524$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.511,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c85…94a4backed Over52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0803345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under48c3,982$1,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,070.4311946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Over50c3,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7504050%20 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Under50c3,300$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6504362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over47c3,253$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.5264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under20c2,956$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,364.281,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over40c2,878$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.826131%81 W · 180 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Under61c2,787$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.144245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under52c2,071$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.5455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c2,000$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.592,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over48c1,891$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.932,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over39c1,826$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.552150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under77c1,740$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.4818941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under40c1,709$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.875937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e2c…bd51backed Under22c1,526$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.666163.9%39 W · 22 L+7.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+68.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4f4b…bb93backed Over43c1,516$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.489354.8%51 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under59c1,423$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.886,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Under60c1,342$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.6713757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Over75c1,340$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00512047.5%57 W · 63 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under25c1,239$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.152,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over40c1,179$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.591,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Under54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.0823652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under60c975.5$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.5530448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x683d…43b4backed Over40c975.27$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.111338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5062…0b34backed Under71c839.71$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.712268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+75.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Under60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.331947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Under46c821.93$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.8411333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed02…85f7backed Under61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.672171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+44.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae8f…1cc3backed Over40c815.54$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.055446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Over2c800$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1613946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Under37c705.89$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.253647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7845…417bbacked Under61c700$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2736547.7%31 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1708…0619backed Over40c625$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25060%0 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Under53c600$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2858320.5%17 W · 66 L-7.9wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5184…d17abacked Under69c586.35$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.772268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over53c577.92$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.4752861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under59c550.4$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.6666352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over50c545.96$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.3218557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed Under20c544.7$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.762138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under60c532.73$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Under65c500.01$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick29cpaid+117.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over46c499.85$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.931,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71cbbacked Under66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.55875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+127.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under59c443.99$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.0422656.6%128 W · 98 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd20b…3a20backed Under54c442.58$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.772142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over39c436.63$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2925954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Under23c425.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.795259.6%31 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+35.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe7e5…6e53backed Under60c408.37$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.12966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Over50c404.7$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.647152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ed1…6b7cbacked Under79c400$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+55.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dff…1f35backed Under75c400$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021850%9 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+96.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under51c398.75$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.3911242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over39c384.2$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.841,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf752…101cbacked Under56c381.9$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddbf…99c2backed Under47c370$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.1580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed1…3363backed Under60c333.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Under61c324.74$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6511926.1%31 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Under61c320$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.81145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Under47c316.83$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.832556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x297e…612fbacked Under74c308$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.16580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+36.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over49c307.03$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Under23c300$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23126233.6%88 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a71…78c9backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Over72c300$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21616750.3%84 W · 83 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over48c298$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under60c290.9$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.911,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over39c259.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.461,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over52c240.94$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2325150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under46c239.57$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.768838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Under60c233.68$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6810861.1%66 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0977…3ca9backed Over45c233.31$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over34c232.17$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9418140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under49c225.43$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2510944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over54c222.89$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5936051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aba…74c0backed Under72c221.41$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.411861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Over29c214.2$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.182334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over48c205.31$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.556038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa596…15e9backed Under30c199.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.998246.3%38 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d93…c671backed Under25c199.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.973751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1315…a84abacked Under11c192.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.534850%24 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa8f…fd07backed Over67c185.6$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.352441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae10…16c4backed Over34c180$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.274431.8%14 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over67c176.54$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1325554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe477…e618backed Under69c173.33$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.332766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over48c166.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7960250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…780cbacked Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.674854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672770.4%19 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28b3…08e3backed Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.673652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6717944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over39c164.06$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9821147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf15b…000fbacked Under61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.934100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+124.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Over21c161.04$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.74911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-79.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under72c153.08$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0821640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under41c150.19$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2632654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Under48c140$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.191866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under55c136.96$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6320247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f90…ed62backed Under17c132.06$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.611442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.