Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x902e7546f253c38bb83a5f2e92107b4c2d4226bf58b96a20cb4e3abbb532b4c2

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 8, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $728,347
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $314,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $728,347 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	1c	106,635$1,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056.63	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c54…1d08backed Yes	15c	19,423$2,817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,817.12	64	18.8%12 W · 52 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	6c	17,825$1,158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,157.83	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	4c	16,175$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.98	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Yes	15c	10,657$1,564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,563.63	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	9c	7,363$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.84	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	17c	6,712$1,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,121.4	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	8c	6,488$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.58	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes	6c	6,288$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa6…4465backed Yes	14c	5,729$786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$785.65	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+413.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	9c	5,529$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.94	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	9c	5,161$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.14	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70e3…5e8cbacked Yes	12c	4,961$572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572.02	66	10.6%7 W · 59 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	4,884$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.23	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	11c	4,437$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce72…01f2backed Yes	6c	4,261$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.63	97	7.2%7 W · 90 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	5c	3,995$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	2c	3,754$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.92	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	11c	3,743$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.02	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58e6…2c48backed Yes	1c	3,661$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.21	97	7.2%7 W · 90 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5300…d039backed Yes	6c	3,251$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	64	12.5%8 W · 56 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4081…cfb0backed Yes	2c	2,900$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.5	134	7.5%10 W · 124 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2982…5a7cbacked Yes	12c	2,500$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.5	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2a9…4cbdbacked Yes	9c	2,236$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.91	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	9c	2,121$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.35	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48f3…104fbacked Yes	4c	2,040$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.81	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf276…0ddebacked Yes	15c	2,028$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-74.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes	10c	1,794$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	181	16%29 W · 152 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	2c	1,732$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.21	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8088…2df6backed Yes	12c	1,692$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	14c	1,526$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.6	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes	18c	1,504$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.88	147	18.4%27 W · 120 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	14c	1,500$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.5	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	20c	1,500$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.57	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes	6c	1,383$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.05	243	7%17 W · 226 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c2e…3d70backed Yes	14c	1,286$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd9a…796cbacked Yes	16c	1,276$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.41	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	3c	1,217$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.11	118	5.1%6 W · 112 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+94.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes	13c	1,213$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	56	17.9%10 W · 46 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	2c	1,208$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.71	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x609e…a64fbacked Yes	18c	1,189$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.07	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x226a…6411backed Yes	16c	1,108$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.8	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x969a…e4c5backed Yes	4c	1,071$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.49	113	10.6%12 W · 101 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-56%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	3c	1,066$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.67	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	15c	1,037$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.4	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34c2…1540backed Yes	13c	1,020$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.68	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Yes	10c	1,000$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	124	12.1%15 W · 109 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	3c	1,000$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x533c…4883backed Yes	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	25	20%5 W · 20 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	+58.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68c9…4c60backed Yes	15c	1,000$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes	11c	1,000$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	69	13%9 W · 60 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	10c	1,000$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	285	9.1%26 W · 259 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10a…ab03backed Yes	16c	999.99$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7458…fa86backed Yes	13c	976.09$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3e4…8669backed Yes	16c	936.12$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	126	16.7%21 W · 105 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x618f…f2f3backed Yes	6c	935.43$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.5	67	13.4%9 W · 58 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c6…5b8bbacked Yes	10c	874.38$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	112	21.4%24 W · 88 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3986…01fdbacked Yes	10c	825.06$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.3	206	8.7%18 W · 188 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5be1…45e3backed Yes	12c	806.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	5c	799.99$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.5	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b24…f36abacked Yes	8c	792.54$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.36	192	29.2%56 W · 136 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x442d…523ebacked Yes	3c	778.96$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.25	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f82…2d74backed Yes	14c	719.42$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	105	13.3%14 W · 91 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	13c	708.82$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.87	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe249…1100backed Yes	7c	708.71$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.95	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12cc…275dbacked Yes	9c	707.03$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.39	128	18.8%24 W · 104 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ff…721fbacked Yes	10c	700$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	79	12.7%10 W · 69 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Yes	13c	673.75$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.12	344	27%93 W · 251 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5526…8ffabacked Yes	12c	671.23$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.14	100	16%16 W · 84 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…822abacked Yes	15c	657.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958f…7d5abacked Yes	7c	650.32$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a06…160abacked Yes	15c	645.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	22cpaid	-86.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes	15c	623.91$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.78	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcba0…97bfbacked Yes	7c	600$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b69…16d4backed Yes	17c	598.86$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	223	27.8%62 W · 161 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd93…a22bbacked Yes	17c	589.79$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	198	19.7%39 W · 159 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee6…8af6backed Yes	17c	587.59$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5be…8997backed Yes	12c	582.75$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.98	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Yes	13c	573.55$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.84	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0a…b7d2backed Yes	15c	567.28$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.06	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e0…5d24backed Yes	13c	565.68$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.7	40	10%4 W · 36 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f00…96ecbacked Yes	4c	560.35$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	5c	558$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.99	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4b…71f0backed Yes	19c	506.14$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	93	10.8%10 W · 83 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	14c	500$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3a…4580backed Yes	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8114…085abacked Yes	3c	500$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	127	14.2%18 W · 109 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc85…3532backed Yes	9c	470$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.95	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa6…4094backed Yes	11c	455.97$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	307	14%43 W · 264 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f92…be64backed Yes	14c	444.44$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc295…dde9backed Yes	4c	428.93$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.16	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90a9…5ab5backed Yes	14c	417.57$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e26…e972backed Yes	10c	409.62$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.79	51	13.7%7 W · 44 L	-4.6wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd44b…edabbacked Yes	8c	399.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.6	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	6cpaid	+852.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98ce…5e1dbacked Yes	14c	397.51$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.38	89	9%8 W · 81 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	5c	397.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.97	434	5.1%22 W · 412 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-33%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbda0…8992backed Yes	10c	396.77$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.73	166	21.7%36 W · 130 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4be…58f2backed Yes	11c	395$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.66	53	17%9 W · 44 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe742…4630backed Yes	8c	390.09$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.35	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event