MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9952ac8902f12c98f87d7868689becb6fad664b74f254121ba6326afb0ccc1ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $359,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 41,077$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 38,986$16,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,690.37 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 25,315$11,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,367.78 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 20,927$11,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,697.48 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 20,153$7,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,293.07 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 27c | 18,530$5,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,063.92 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 18,164$9,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,263.78 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 16,221$9,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,779.09 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 16,214$6,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,890.54 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 16,134$8,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,991.32 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 13,167$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 13,163$9,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,697.23 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 7,500$4,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,575 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 6,699$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,588.08 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 5,845$3,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,448.74 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 5,104$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.86 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 4,531$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.85 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.96 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 3,870$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.98 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 3,802$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 3,210$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.01 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 3,178$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 3,020$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.64 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.98 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 2,863$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.15 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 2,833$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.26 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 2,465$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.24 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 2,409$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.23 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 2,374$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.3 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 2,225$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.92 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 2,223$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.57 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 2,134$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.23 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 2,086$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.42 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 2,083$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Tampa Bay Rays | 16c | 2,009$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.49 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 14c | 1,674$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.36 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd76b…e9d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 1,295$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.87 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,184$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.45 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ff…3535backed Tampa Bay Rays | 4c | 1,149$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 1,120$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.4 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 1,064$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.45 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 1,042$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.72 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 990.51$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.51 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 921$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.39 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 899.99$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 829.02$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.33 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 800$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 784.85$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.15 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 758.23$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.17 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…4d51backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 743$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1ae2backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 691.08$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.36 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Tampa Bay Rays | 4c | 681.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 606.1$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…6721backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 581.39$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.21 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 556.6$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.34 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 553$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.27 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Tampa Bay Rays | 21c | 550$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 541.86$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.86 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…74eebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 13c | 540.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Tampa Bay Rays | 19c | 526.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 481.65$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.68 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…eebbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 5c | 468.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 450$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 449.19$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.12 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 426.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.26 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 20c | 426.06$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 420.74$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.42 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 402.01$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.57 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 381$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.61 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 14c | 378.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Baltimore Orioles | 80c | 372$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 368.06$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.56 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 322.05$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.31 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 300.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.09 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 29c | 295.57$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 292$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 280.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.48 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…3587backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 280$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…9525backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 274.16$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 33c | 270.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 270$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 268.94$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 253.69$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.1 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 236.59$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.95 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 230.28$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.87 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.