TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,241
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,241 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over42c17,383$7,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,008.241842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa398…6c83backed Over44c16,784$7,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,378.761681.3%13 W · 3 L+5.7wins+0.36per pick46cpaid+79.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under60c15,333$9,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,256.8328749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under56c4,071$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.561959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Under56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.9950049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under60c3,477$2,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.89650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under58c3,214$1,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.6761950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e86…cb8fbacked Under60c2,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-62.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under55c2,098$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.741,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under57c1,552$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.6211952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under57c1,399$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.6142948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked Over21c1,381$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+86.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over41c1,315$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.7717761.6%109 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed Under57c1,250$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.5955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf647…0ccbbacked Over25c1,184$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.24683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+88%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over42c997.62$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.4776950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under57c940$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.83641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over41c782.99$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.9631848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over69c709.7$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.231,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.675151%26 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Under58c689.66$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3449…abdfbacked Over42c535.65$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.684247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Under25c520.87$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.43633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-39.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over43c514.72$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.3914254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under57c503$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.7114551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under58c476.19$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.1912146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f2…0419backed Over42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.19425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over40c460.09$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.0583149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over55c454$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4489355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-43.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under57c342$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9410346.6%48 W · 55 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over76c316.24$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.843,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under51c288$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4434547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over75c282.6$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3213336.1%48 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Under57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Under57c258.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.6248552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under37c245.5$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6822250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under58c242.12$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4328753.3%153 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under58c175$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.562447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under19c163.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9525345.5%115 W · 138 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under45c163.2$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.44666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+217.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Over73c161.5$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over50c154.13$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.727047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over43c144.68$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.823336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over48c127$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.989948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under57c127$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.396046.7%28 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Over40c121$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+109.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over42c119.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0520855.8%116 W · 92 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over43c114.88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4830855.5%171 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc879…30a4backed Over43c113.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.954445.5%20 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over45c108.68$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.321866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+58.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over43c106.48$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.968150.6%41 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under45c104.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6717248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa10…065abacked Under22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd54c…9979backed Under59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under17c95.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4599638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under26c93.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5814347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e4b…83e2backed Over43c90.91$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87f8…7de3backed Over41c90$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+125.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1f6…0981backed Over44c84.14$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.121275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+54.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc313…6645backed Over42c54.39$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.697346.6%34 W · 39 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over66c52.22$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8314045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xace2…8fe6backed Under58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-66.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6a65…5864backed Under59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+109.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under56c47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.324542.2%19 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8179…5c4dbacked Under56c45.96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.74425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under57c36.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0845151.2%231 W · 220 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd6…107bbacked Under58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe997…f92ebacked Under58c33.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.66742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Over43c33.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.943770.3%26 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under33c31.36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.352147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.459852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under57c29.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.142750.8%217 W · 210 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Over44c28.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.014634.8%16 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Under57c26.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8410056%56 W · 44 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f42…2260backed Under58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xab75…9190backed Under58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Under57c24.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1417147.4%81 W · 90 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa68d…eab5backed Under60c23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over54c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5841050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under57c22.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.751838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over61c20.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over61c20.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.917265.3%47 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.313551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over66c19.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.461747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.