MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90dab0680f465b0e4f505295d1b138b2982a86a2eafa92b6530c5035efa7a716
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Washington Nationals, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $509,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $512,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $509,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 93,915$70,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,915.39 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43ca…c219backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 64,150$18,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,968.97 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 39,877$9,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,736.43 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cd…9853backed Washington Nationals | 27c | 35,394$9,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,556.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 34,250$24,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,590.04 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…21fabacked Washington Nationals | 26c | 30,201$7,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,832.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 25,753$18,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,725.81 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…29a5backed Washington Nationals | 28c | 24,808$6,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,946.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 21,958$16,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,933.43 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 20,089$14,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,624.88 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 19,970$14,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,391.79 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Washington Nationals | 28c | 19,786$5,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,540.08 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 16,779$11,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,825.84 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 16,067$12,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,998.21 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked Washington Nationals | 28c | 12,600$3,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,527.88 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Washington Nationals | 26c | 12,280$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.75 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Washington Nationals | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Washington Nationals | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.97 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Washington Nationals | 0c | 8,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 8,000$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 7,930$5,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.63 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 7,763$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.86 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d0…a6fcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 6,903$4,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.78 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 6,054$4,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.2 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 5,640$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.6 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 4,483$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…5a54backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 4,425$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.25 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 4,413$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 5c | 4,285$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.7 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 4,269$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.09 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Washington Nationals | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Washington Nationals | 28c | 3,913$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.63 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 7c | 3,770$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.81 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Washington Nationals | 26c | 3,705$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.03 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals | 8c | 3,386$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.88 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 3,058$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.82 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 2,800$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 2,777$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.52 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 2,777$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.52 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8707…8b15backed Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 2,698$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.45 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals | 19c | 2,430$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.78 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Washington Nationals | 27c | 2,362$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.15 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 2,143$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 2,143$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Washington Nationals | 29c | 2,119$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.44 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Washington Nationals | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Washington Nationals | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6443backed Washington Nationals | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Washington Nationals | 28c | 1,835$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.91 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Washington Nationals | 28c | 1,800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 1,798$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.47 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Washington Nationals | 29c | 1,562$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.98 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Washington Nationals | 29c | 1,562$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.98 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Washington Nationals | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…5323backed Washington Nationals | 10c | 1,431$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 27c | 1,430$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.2 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 1,379$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.17 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 1,345$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.81 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 1,333$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.57 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Washington Nationals | 8c | 1,317$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.34 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Washington Nationals | 22c | 1,262$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.89 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Washington Nationals | 26c | 1,214$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.6 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Washington Nationals | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…4245backed Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 1,170$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.25 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Washington Nationals | 28c | 1,100$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Washington Nationals | 15c | 1,078$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.72 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 1,024$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.49 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Nationals | 28c | 1,024$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.72 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Washington Nationals | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Washington Nationals | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Washington Nationals | 26c | 900$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 844.29$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.29 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 800$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Washington Nationals | 28c | 754.85$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.36 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Philadelphia Phillies | 80c | 730.93$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.19 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Washington Nationals | 26c | 709.82$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 694.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.39 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 23c | 665$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.44 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66fd…a401backed Washington Nationals | 28c | 626$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Washington Nationals | 26c | 615.38$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Washington Nationals | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 596$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 579$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.75 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Washington Nationals | 27c | 565.93$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 28c | 540$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Washington Nationals | 28c | 530.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.24 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 520.83$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.83 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Washington Nationals | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 476.06$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.3 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Washington Nationals | 28c | 470$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Washington Nationals | 8c | 470$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…52c5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 416.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.63 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 400.7$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Washington Nationals | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.