Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6bf17f1878534da95fbbcf12849d44d4e8f5007e09fbe2a0a57a289c9555fe0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof Karmine Corp, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked FUT Esports | 60c | 1,477$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.79 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FUT Esports | 53c | 1,477$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.79 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc24…c8c4backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 1,359$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.59 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 1,303$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.7 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4255backed Karmine Corp | 31c | 1,239$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed FUT Esports | 51c | 1,111$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.99 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FUT Esports | 58c | 1,071$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.3 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked FUT Esports | 48c | 522.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.47 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 499$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.64 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 428.35$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.74 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Karmine Corp | 36c | 406$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.61 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 379.19$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.39 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…fa4ebacked Karmine Corp | 57c | 300$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.06 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 207.25$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed FUT Esports | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 183.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Karmine Corp | 36c | 171$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Karmine Corp | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 159.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.49 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FUT Esports | 46c | 97.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked FUT Esports | 54c | 92.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed FUT Esports | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed FUT Esports | 59c | 63.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Karmine Corp | 32c | 54.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FUT Esports | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…612dbacked FUT Esports | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…a659backed Karmine Corp | 40c | 30.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a8…3cd1backed FUT Esports | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.