Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f9a96eb83f9fea1db9648f4a916b04ad57b6eb8ca7b461f193bcff71c6afc5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 1,463$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.54 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 1,388$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.44 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked FUT Esports | 48c | 823.45$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Karmine Corp | 71c | 620.73$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.68 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Karmine Corp | 72c | 488.51$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.19 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Karmine Corp | 58c | 436.79$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.14 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked FUT Esports | 26c | 364.23$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 330.29$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed FUT Esports | 47c | 291.19$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.13 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked FUT Esports | 38c | 241.69$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FUT Esports | 27c | 232.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Karmine Corp | 57c | 170.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed FUT Esports | 53c | 166.54$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.1 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed FUT Esports | 28c | 122.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…d683backed Karmine Corp | 57c | 115.14$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Karmine Corp | 74c | 110$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Karmine Corp | 57c | 109.47$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FUT Esports | 33c | 83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FUT Esports | 37c | 82.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed FUT Esports | 28c | 75.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Karmine Corp | 80c | 62.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed FUT Esports | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…7a02backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Karmine Corp | 73c | 24.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…2fc2backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.